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Interesting Russian movements happening right now. At least 1 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-22M3s strategic bombers are flying south from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, towards Saratov Oblast. They should arrive at any potential launch lines in the next 30 minutes.โ€ฆ
No new updates regarding these aircraft.

However, 5 Tu-95MS bombers from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast are airborne, either carrying out large-scale training or redeploying to western Russia.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (SyrianInsurgent)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Violent clashes are taking place around the "Muhajireen" camp in the city of Harem, north of Idlib, between members of the HTS regime forces on one side, and foreign fighters of French and Uzbek nationalities on the other.

Local sources reported that the foreign fighters inside the camp made "panic" calls via loudspeakers, demanding support after being surrounded by HTS regime forces who were attempting to storm the camp.

@wfwitness
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AMK Mapping
No new updates regarding these aircraft. However, 5 Tu-95MS bombers from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast are airborne, either carrying out large-scale training or redeploying to western Russia.
2 IL-78 tankers are accompanying the 5 Tu-95s from Ukrainka Airbase. This likely means they will fly to Engels-2/Olenya in preparation for the next large-scale missile attack.
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As of currently, information about the clearing of most Russian presence in Pokrovsk city does NOT correspond to reality. The situation remains extremely difficult, just like logistics, and Russian presence is recorded throughout all of the city.
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David, for your own sake, please stop making predictions.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ชUkrainian President Zelenskyy and Swedish Prime Minister Kristersson signed a letter of intent to export between 100 and 150 Gripen E fighter jets and strengthen Ukraineโ€™s air defense capabilities.

@wfwitness
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (SneakyCookie)
โšก๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโœˆ๏ธ Gripen news.

The Swedish Airforce recieved yesterday its first Gripen E fighter jets a modernized version of the domestic Gripen C/D.
And today, Ukraine and Sweden signed a memorandum for the purchase of 100 to 150 Gripen E.

The Gripen is arguably the best fighter available for the Ukrainian Airforce, its supply was first considered in 2023 but the effort was postponed to let room for the F-16.
Today Ukraine is looking for a long-term solution for its airforce, all aircrafts in the Ukrainian Airforce are near or at their end of life and will need to be replaced eventually.

Ukraine could also get Gripen C/D retired from the Swedish Airforce for training and a smooth transition.

The aircraft itself was built with simplicity and low-operating cost. It can operate from improvised airstripes and is designed for easy maintenance (a team of 10 conscripts and a specialist are enough for most of the maintenance tasks).
This rusticity is what allows the Ukrainian Airforce to survive years into the war.
But the Gripen E has also advanced avionics, EW and can use the Meteor air-to-air missile, an improvement from the AIM-120 of the F-16s.

The memorandum is not a contract, don't expect the Gripens to fight this war.

@wfwitness
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AMK Mapping
2 IL-78 tankers are accompanying the 5 Tu-95s from Ukrainka Airbase. This likely means they will fly to Engels-2/Olenya in preparation for the next large-scale missile attack.
These 5 Tu-95s, alongside 3 IL-78 tankers, are carrying out large-scale, long-range training. This is likely related to Russia's ongoing nuclear exercises.
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Footage showing the launch of a Russian nuclear-capable Intercontinental ballistic missile 15P155M "YARS" during today's nuclear exercises.
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Russia is expected to launch Oreshnik IRBMs from today until the end of October as part of their ongoing nuclear exercises. As a result, country-wide air raid alerts may be issued for Ukraine due to activity at the Kapustin Yar Training Ground in Astrakhan Oblast.

The probability of any Oreshnik strikes on Ukraine is practically 0%.
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The first Russian soldiers have entered Kostyantynivka proper.
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A very stupid and borderline suicidal idea in my opinion. Russia hasn't even properly consolidated east of the city, with the grey zone stretching nearly 9 km east of this infiltration.

The entire area is completely covered by Ukrainian drones as there are practically endless hiding spots for drone operators, and Russia has been really struggling to locate and destroy them for literally the last 8 months.

There is simply no way to properly consolidate right now, unless some terrible weather conditions and fog arrive, allowing for the Russians to sneak in significant reinforcements and supplies. I predict that this infiltration will be reversed in under two weeks from now, but let's wait and see.
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Siversk, Pokrovsk, Kupyansk, Bilohorivka... when will they learn not to storm these "cauldron cities" like this? Makes zero sense, and the only time that I can think of when something similar to this has worked was in Toretsk, and even then the whole city had to be wiped out for them to take it, and proper consolidation had taken actually place in the previous, much larger settlements.
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Of course, it's nothing compared to Ukraine's storming of places like Tetkino, Toretsk, Klishchiivka, Robotyne, etc, but you would still expect Russia to show more adaptation when it comes to this.
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AMK Mapping
These 5 Tu-95s, alongside 3 IL-78 tankers, are carrying out large-scale, long-range training. This is likely related to Russia's ongoing nuclear exercises.
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Some of the communications between one of the Tu-95MS and ground controllers "Khlebobor & Troitsa" as they carry out training missions over the Kuril Islands area of the Pacific Ocean.

They may carry out simulated launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles with electronic warfare as a part of the training, as they did earlier this week.
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AMK Mapping
4 out of 5 operational Hydroelectric Power Plants were hit by Russian missiles last night...
Ukraine's Ukrenergo has announced additional rolling hourly power outages for household consumers. They will take place for 18 hours every day between 7am and 11pm, and are being put in place due to today's Russian missile strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, as well as earlier attacks.

Industrial consumers will be prioritised, with power limitation schedules being put in place for them rather than outright outages.
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AMK Mapping
Interesting Russian movements happening right now. At least 1 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-22M3s strategic bombers are flying south from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, towards Saratov Oblast. They should arrive at any potential launch lines in the next 30 minutes.โ€ฆ
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The 2 Tu-22m3 and 1 Tu-95MS strategic bomber flights which I reported on earlier were taking part in the ongoing Russian nuclear exercises.

This video shows the two Tu-22m3s carrying out training, alongside escort crews of Su-34S and Su-27 aircraft. One of the Tu-22m3s can be seen equipped with a Kh-22 cruise missile. These training flights lasted for more than 5 hours.
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I put together a short Twitter thread on today's Russian Geran-2 drone "strike" on a kindergarten in Kharkiv City. In it, I outline why I think it was caused by Ukrainian electronic warfare, and outline how I reached that conclusion.

Link: https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/1981053186430718459
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AMK Mapping
A very stupid and borderline suicidal idea in my opinion. Russia hasn't even properly consolidated east of the city, with the grey zone stretching nearly 9 km east of this infiltration. The entire area is completely covered by Ukrainian drones as there areโ€ฆ
Russian mapper Radov corroborates my reports on the complicated situation east of Kostyantynivka.

For those who think Russia has properly consolidated here.
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2025/10/22 18:31:02
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