A short time ago, a Russian Grom-E1 rocket-powered glide-bomb launched from a Su-34 in southwestern Donetsk Oblast impacted the Lozova area of Kharkiv Oblast. The flight length was 120 - 140 km.

Since I published this map update, it has become apparent that the situation in Pokrovsk has significantly worsened for Ukraine.

Less than 50% of the city is now under solid Ukrainian control, with the Russians now present in most of the city south of the railway line, including the city centre. The E-50 highway has been cut via Pokrovsk's northwestern industrial zone, meaning supply is now even more difficult.

We could be approaching the end of the battle for the city and neighbouring Myrnohrad.

"Pokrovsk isn't strategically important" cope in 3, 2, 1...

In the Lyman direction, Russian forces continued their offensive operations towards the Siverskyi Donets River and have advanced in two areas.

In the southeast, Russian forces were able to consolidate in the northern streets of Drobysheve and the agricultural buildings to the east. They also advanced through the forests northwest of Drobysheve, reaching the Nitrius River from the east, and capturing additional positions to the south and north. Additionally, Russian forces expanded their bridgehead west of the river, capturing new positions in the southwestern residential area of Novoselivka, and entering the forests behind them.

In the northwest, after heavy FAB, artillery, and FPV drone strikes, Russian forces were able to make significant progress in the forest northwest of Novoselivka, advancing in the direction of Oleksandrivka. They were also able to enter the large forests to the west where fighting is ongoing.

+ ~6.96 km² in favour of Rusia.

Footage showing two Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile strikes on a Ukrainian Patriot air defence installation near Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

The strikes, which took place 3 days ago on October 15, targeted the Patriot's launcher and radar station. This system has been covering the Pavlohrad area for at least the last 4 months.

Update on Russian preparations for the next large-scale, combined missile attack:

A Tu-95MS departed from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, and landed at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast.

Combat-related radio activity from the Black Sea Fleet at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai, was recorded last night.

Radio activity between Olenya Airbase and Moscow was recorded last night.

Deliveries of Iskander-M ballistic missiles and possible Iskander-K cruise missiles from Shaykovka and Balitmore Airbases to OTRK installations in Bryansk and Voronezh Oblast took place over the last 48 hours.

Accumulation of Geran-2/Gebera drones continues at all major launch points.

Su-24MR reconnaissance aircraft are carrying out significantly more frequent flights over Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, and areas northeast of Ukraine.

An A-50U AWACS aircraft (tail number RF-50608) continues to carry out daily reconnaissance missions over Tambov, Volgograd, and Ryazan Oblast from Ulyanovsk-East Airbase, Ulyanovsk Oblast.

One "Buyan-M" Corvette and one "Admiral Makarov" Frigate remain equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, although there may be additional vessels equipped too.

4 MiG-31Ks are still equipped at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, but show no relevant signs of activity yet.

3 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, carried out a training mission over the Kuril Islands in the Pacific Ocean, in which launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles were simulated with electronic warfare.

Update from Pokrovsk:

Russian forces continued to quickly advance inside the city and are now present in practically all areas south of the railway line.

After breaking through Ukrainian positions in the southern suburbs, Russian forces consolidated in the Hospital District and entered the Prospecta District where they were able to secure at least the four southern blocks. Soldiers and DRGs are now infiltrating north to the city centre and the railway station, where fighting is ongoing with Ukrainian forces.

Additionally, Russian forces managed to completely capture the four high-rise districts in southern Pokrovsk after the remaining Ukrainian soldiers were forced to withdraw. They then crossed the E-50 highway and entered the southeastern streets of the Sobachivka District.

To the northwest, Russian forces continued to advance in the Pervomaika District, consolidating in numerous new residential blocks, and infiltrating towards the school, and further to the city centre.

To the west, Russian forces were able to secure and consolidate in the rest of the Durniak District, before spearheading east through northern Pervomaika District and into the city centre, where fighting is ongoing. They also captured the areas west of Durniak District and expanded the grey zone further in Pokrovsk's northwestern industrial zone.

Large parts of Pokrovsk remains in the grey zone due to the mixed state of fighting, a critical shortage of Ukrainian manpower, and the mixed and layered state of control.

+ ~4.16 km² in favour of Russia.

Footage showing a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile strike on a Ukrainian HIMARS GMLRS launcher near the village of Kuz'myns'ke, Chernihiv Oblast.

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Myrne, Lyman direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~18.
Total land area: ~0.12 km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Novoselivka, Lyman direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~1,390.
Total land area: ~3.06 km².

The Ukrainian Navy published footage showing a drone-dropped explosive targeting a Russian position in the first houses of Myrnohrad.

This is one of the many strikes I was referring to in this post, where the Ukrainians are striking every occupied building one after another to eliminate the Russian presence in the city. This is also another example of Ukraine's critical manpower shortages preventing them from putting up significant resistance on the ground.

Russian forces have captured the village of Novomykolaivka, Hulyaipole direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~457.
Total land area: ~1.43 km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Balahan, Pokrovsk direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~35.
Total land area: ~0.50 km².

Earlier, a Russian Grom-E1 rocket-powered glide-bomb impacted the outskirts of Poltava City for the first time. The target is unknown, and no media has been published of the strike. The flight length was more than 165 km.

In the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces have made significant progress over the past 5 days and are close to eliminating the Ukrainian salient south of Novopavlivka.

In the west, Russian forces continued to expand around the village of Filiya, and were able to collapse the Ukrainian defence northwest of Dachne by securing the treelines and then forcing the AFU to withdraw from their fortified positions in the forest. They also improved their positions to the north, capturing new treeline positions and establishing control over a gulley from the south, now coming within 1.5 km of the southern outskirts of Novopavlivka.

In the east, Russian forces continued to clear areas near the Donetsk - Dnipropetrovsk Regional Border. They captured Ukrainian positions in the treelines on the tactical heights north of Novoukrainka, before crossing over the border into the treelines northeast of Dachne, further pressuring the Ukrainian formations in the area of the highway.

To the north, the Russians began retaking previously lost positions around Horikhove. They pushed west from the outskirts of Horikhove to the forested areas along the regional border and began clearing treelines on the tactical heights north of the village, crossing over into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast here too.

+ ~23.68 km² in favour of Russia.

On the western flank of Pokrovsk, Russian forces resumed their assault operations along the Donetsk - Dnipropetrovsk Regional Border in Molodetske, and have secured important positions south of the railway line.

After accumulating infantry, Russian forces advanced from their foothold in the southern houses of Molodetske, moving north to the railway tracks. They established full control over the village and the parallel treeline to the west and were able to secure positions in the southern railway windbreak. Other forces attacked north up a treeline towards the eastern outskirts of Molodetske, where they too reached the railway line, capturing its southern windbreak. This linked them up with formations west of Udachne, forming a unified front against the western flank of the Pokrovsk Coal Mine on the highest point of the tactical heights.

+ ~1.15 km² in favour of Russia.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces continued their offensive in Pokrovsk and have made additional progress south of the railway line.

After securing positions in the Hospital District and the southern part of the Prospecta District, Russian forces began pushing further north. They were able to consolidate in at least 5 more blocks of the Prospecta District and continued to advance north and northwest through the Sobachivka District.

Meanwhile, infiltrations continue towards the railway line. Russian soldiers and DRGs are operating in all parts of the city south of the tracks, including at the railway station in the city centre, and the highway overpass in the east suburbs. They are also infiltrating deeper into the northwestern industrial zone, where the grey zone now extends beyond the city limits in the direction of Hryshyne. No consolidation has occurred north of the railway line yet.

+ ~0.61 km² in favour of Russia.