Last time there was a ceasefire in Gaza, Israel launched Operation Iron Walls in the West Bank, where they began dismantling Palestinian militant infrastructure in several different towns and cities.

I'm wondering if we will see some other escalation elsewhere involving units pulled from Gaza.

Novhorod-Siverskyi in Chernihiv Oblast came under attack from Geran-2 drones last night. At least 5 impacts were recorded, although the target(s) are unknown.

So far, this image is the only visual evidence of the strikes.

Russian VKS-affiliated channel Fighterbomber reports that a Russian Ka-52 helicopter was lost. It's unclear if it was shot down or crashed. There is currently no other information available about it.

The 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers that took off from Ukrainka Airbase yesterday did not redeploy to western Russia, and instead carried out large-scale training.

However, an An-124-100 "Ruslan" cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, which can carry up to 70 Kh-101 cruise missiles. We will likely see these 5 Tu-95MS redeploy from Ukrainka to Engels-2 in the coming days, in preparation for the next missile attack on Ukraine.

Donetsk vibes

Id like to make some general predictions regarding the future of Pokrovsk and its corresponding front. I've colour coded red as the first step of Russian advances, purple as the 2nd step and pink as the 3rd step. Ukrainian withdrawal is represented by blue and future Russian advances by orange. The first and most critical step for Russian forces is to seize the coal mine north of Udachnoye. This will serve as a critical base for Russian attacks to both Sergeyevka and Grishino. Once Russia secures the coal mine and consolidates, they can move NE to cut the E50 highway and put the O0525 under fire control. This will be in sync with russia taking Rodinskoye, allowing them to launch attacks and pressure the remaining routes into the city from both the SW and NE. Inevitably, the AFU will be forced to withdraw to more defensible positions by leaving Lysovka, Sukhyy Yar and Promon. (1/2)

Once the E50 and O0525 are cut, Pokrovsk will fall along with Grishino in Avdeyevka style fashion. From here, a very much Ocheretino-style push will occur, with Russian forces essentially steamrolling northeast to Dobropellya and Slavyanka. In the long term, by developing a significant breach of the final AFU defensive line, Russian forces will be able to sweep behind Kramatorsk and Druzhkovka, finally collapsing the Donbass. This post serves to educate people on how truly strategically crucial Pokrovsk is. (2/2)

We can't forget about the Kucheriv Yar salient either. Now that it has been largely secured, it could form a northeastern flank for Dobropillya once Pokrovsk falls

Russian FPV drones must be hunting out NAFO vehicles at this point.

Priority targets

I kinda feel bad for the poor nafos funding these vehicles.

They should really be putting that money into humanitarian aid, or teams like white angels who are rescuing civilians from frontline areas.