🔥 Богатые страны Запада приближаются к финансовому кризису.

Согласно анализу британского журнала The Economist, развитые страны мира оказались в ловушке растущего долгового кризиса, который традиционно считался проблемой бедных государств.

Ключевые факторы кризиса:

▪️Уровень госдолга стран с развитой экономикой достиг 110% ВВП, приблизившись к историческому максимуму;
▪️Расходы на обслуживание долга вдвое превышают затраты на оборону;
▪️Доходность 30-летних облигаций в Японии, Великобритании и США достигла многолетних максимумов.

Кризис усугубляется последствиями пандемии, конфликта на Украине и отсутствием политической воли к сокращению расходов. Нарастающие затраты на пенсионное обеспечение, оборону и климатические программы создают дополнительное давление на бюджеты.

Издание предупреждают, что для стабилизации ситуации потребуется либо жесткая экономия, либо объявление дефолта.

#Европа #Запад #Кризис #Экономика

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🇪🇺🇷🇺 "Putin is a predator." - Reich Gauleiter Ursula von der Leyen.

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🇫🇷🎪New plot-twists in the "Micron's France" political satire

France will borrow a record €310 billion (10.1% of projected 2026 GDP) from financial markets next year to finance its growing public deficit and refinance maturing debt.

The borrowing plan comes as Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu faces two no-confidence motions against his minority government.

The government appears set to survive after the Socialist Party confirmed it will not back any move to topple Lecornu.

Socialist spokeswoman Dieynaba Diop said on Tuesday that her party “will not vote for a no-confidence motion at this stage”, effectively ensuring the government remains in power long enough to present its 2026 budget, as this leaves the hard-left France Unbowed and far-right National Rally parties without enough potential votes to bring down the government.

Pension reform suspended to ease tensions

In an effort to calm tensions and win support from the centre-left, Lecornu announced that the controversial pension reform raising the retirement age from 62 to 64 will be suspended until the 2027 presidential election.

He proposed a new national conference involving trade unions and employers to try to reach a new agreement on pension reform.

The move was welcomed by the unions as a “victory for the left” but dismissed by the far-left France Unbowed as “a delaying tactic”.

Budget strain and mixed reactions

Lecornu’s 2026 draft budget foresees cuts to more than 3,000 public sector jobs, a freeze on pensions and social benefits, and an extended surtax on high earners. Critics say the plan places too much of the burden on middle- and low-income households, while not touching the billionaires, who are exempt from additional tax burden.

Meanwhile, the French fiscal watchdog, the Haut Conseil des Finances Publiques, warned that the budget’s projections rest on “overly optimistic” growth assumptions and may not deliver the expected savings.

Macron warns of dissolution if Lecornu falls

President Emmanuel Macron has warned that successful no-confidence vote would automatically trigger the dissolution of the National Assembly and early elections.

For now, the Socialists’ decision has bought Lecornu time. But as France faces record borrowing, deep budget cuts and ongoing political division, his government remains under pressure to prove it can deliver stability and results - and a voting majority.

🐻Mexican telenovelas and Game of Thrones have nothing on the French political theatre of the absurd.

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🇺🇸 "I told anybody that wants to be in BRICS that's fine, but we're gonna put tariffs on your nation. Everybody dropped out, they're all dropping out of BRICS. BRICS was an attack on the dollar." — The angry Orange Man

ℹ️ Just to make the obvious clear...

No BRICS nation has dropped out because of Trump’s threats. Argentina declined its invitation in December 2023 after Milei took office — months before Trump even made this statement. Core members like China, India, and Russia remain firmly in BRICS, which expanded in 2024 to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE. Indonesia joined as the 11th member in January 2025, and Saudi Arabia is still considering entry. The bloc also continues to grow through partners like Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam.

Trump’s claim that “everybody dropped out” is a complete fabrication — classic self-delusion from a man who confuses his own threats with global reality.

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