🐝 BTC 1W UPDATE

The key level here is $114,600. I am not touching this asset as long as the price remains below this level.

By the way, if you are interested in— we are starting tomorrow. @kankordio

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​​📍 "Profit/Risk Ratio" - what is it and how to use it?

Professional traders use the profit/risk ratio to estimate a possible profit in relation to a possible loss. In order to understand how much is the profit/risk ratio, the trader needs to determine both potential profit and potential loss. The potential risk is the difference between the entry point in the position and the stop order. The potential profit is the difference between the entry price and the target order.

🔎 If you buy Bitcoin at $6900, place a stop order at $6800 and take profit at $7200, the risk will be $100 ($6900 - $ 6800), and the profit will be $300 ($7200 - $6900).

Comparing the risk with the possible profit, we get the ratio: risk/profit = $300/$100 = 3

If the ratio is bigger than 1.0, it means that the profit is bigger than the potential loss.

Why is it useful?

📊 Let's use the statistics.
The table below shows the dependence of the probability to lose the whole deposit on the accuracy of your trades and the profit/risk ratio in each trade. So, we can see that even if your strategy has only 60% accuracy, but at the same time, the profit/risk ratio is at least 1.5:1, you can already be sure that you will not lose all your money. But if the ratio is 1:1, with the same 60% accuracy, the probability of losing the deposit with a series of unprofitable trades is already 12%

❗️Buying $TAO on this bullish pennant breakout!

📍 $XAUT UPDATE

After such a sharp growth, I expect to see some consolidation inside the bullish pennant (just as it happened many times before).

The consolidation should last until at least the end of 2025, but most likely will take the Q1 of 2026 as well.

The overall target remains at the $4800 - $5000, will be achieved in 2026.

❗️Buying some $XRP on this consolidation above the $2.6 support level!

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🦋 ETH UPDATE

The key support level on Ethereum chart is $3640. Breaking it down will send us to the $3000 - $3200 zone, which will cause massive breakdowns on Altcoins.

There are some exceptions, strong altcoins like $TAO, $TRUMP, possibly $HYPE. But most of altcoins look weak and ready to dump.

I am not really touching the market right now, holding some spot (those tokens I named before), saving USDT for better opportunities.

📊 Short-Term Holders are facing renewed pressure as recent buyers move into a loss.

Historically, such periods of STH stress and capitulation have marked attractive accumulation opportunities for patient investors.

❗️WHALE WHO TRADES ON INSIGHTS — OPENED LONGS

Crypto whale (portfolio $10B+) has returned and deposited $20M USDC on Hyperliquid.

He opened LONGs on 150 BTC ($15.8M) and 5000 ETH ($18M) with market orders.

https://hypurrscan.io/address/0xb317d2bc2d3d2df5fa441b5bae0ab9d8b07283ae

P.S This guy became billionaire on the recent crypto market crash because he SHORTed one on inside information.

🐝 BTC BRIEF UPDATE

Expect $98,000 to be the low, at least the local one. No panic as long as it holds.

💭 Altcoins I am buying on this dump:

- $HYPE
- $TAO
- $TRUMP
- $PUMP

All of them showed strength during the overall dump, I believe they will outperform others during the pullback.

🦋 ETH BRIEF UPDATE

I did not believe in $3600 support, now I am buying the $3000 support. We must bounce from there.

❗️Buying some $HYPE here!

The price has perfectly re-tested the $38.5 support which correlates with the resistance of the Falling Wedge.

The bounce has already happened, but it only proves my point — Hyperliquid is strong af.

✍️ Moreover, $HYPE is forming a clear inverse H&S pattern against Bitcoin which means it is ready to outperform.

$HYPE > $BTC now