Italy, 2nd Opinio projection

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.9% (+0.3)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.1% (-0.5)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.0% (+0.2)

+/- vs. 1st projection


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Italy, Tuscany regional elections:

795/3922 polling stations counted

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.0% (+5.4)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9% (+0.4)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.1% (+2.9)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Italy, Tuscany regional election:

1977/3922 polling stations counted

CSX (S&D|LEFT|RE|G/EFA): 54.7%
CDX (ECR|EPP|PfE): 40.8%
TR (LEFT): 4.5%


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 17% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1% (-1)
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 0%
UPN-*: 0%

+/- vs. 26-29 August 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 900

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Italy, Tuscany regional elections:

2356/3922 polling stations counted

Giani (PD-S&D): 54.0%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9%
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.2%


➤ http://europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Georgia: Based on an analysis of data from over 3,000 precincts reported by the Georgian Central Electoral Commission, Europe Elects has found that local election results show serious signs of falsification and vote tampering, even while accounting for the specific peculiarities of this election.


https://europeelects.eu/2025/10/14/georgia-election-fraud-analysis-2025/

Italy, Final election result:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 53.9% (+5.3)
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 40.9% (+0.4)
Bundu (*~LEFT): 5.2% (+3.0)

+/- vs. 2020 election result


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Italy, Final election result:

Tuscany regional parliament election

CSX (S&D|LEFT|RE|G/EFA): 54.6% (+0.5)
CDX (ECR|EPP|PfE): 40.9% (+0.3)
TR (LEFT): 4.5%(+1.6)

+/- vs. 2020 election result


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Italy, Final election result:

Tuscany regional parliament, seat projection

PD-S&D: 14 (-8)
FdI-ECR: 12 (+8)
GP-CR-RE|S&D: 4 (+2)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3 (+3)
M5S-LEFT: 2 (+1)
FI-EPP: 2 (+1)
LEGA-PfE: 1 (-6)
NM-CpT-EPP: 0
TP-*: 0
TR-LEFT|S&D: 0

+/- vs. 2020 election result

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Netherlands, Verian poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PVV-PfE: 31 (-3)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25 (+2)
CDA-EPP: 23
VVD-RE: 14
D66-RE: 14 (+3)
JA21~ECR: 13 (+2)
FvD-ESN: 5 (+1)
BBB-EPP: 4 (+1)
SP-LEFT: 4 (-3)
Volt-G/EFA: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 3 (-1)
SGP-ECR: 3 (-1)
CU-EPP: 3 (-1)
DENK-*: 2 (-1)
50PLUS-RE: 2 (+1)
NSC-EPP: 0

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 10-13 October 2025
Sample size: 1,566

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Italy (Tuscany): Eugenio Giani (PD-S&D) wins the election with 53.9% of the vote against Alessandro Tomasi (FdI-ECR).

The left-wing alliance (S&D|LEFT|RE|Greens/EFA) retains the presidency of the region


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Portugal, Final election result:

Lisbon mayoral election

Moedas (PSD/CDS/IL-EPP|RE): 41.7% (+2.0)
Leitão (PS/L/BE/PAN-S&D|G/EFA|LEFT): 34.0% (-9.6)
Mascarenhas (CH-PfE): 10.1% (+5.5)
J. Ferreira (CDU-LEFT|Greens/EFA): 10.1% (-0.8)
Almeida (VP-G/EFA): 0.4%
A. Ferreira (ADN→ECR): 0.4% (+0.3)
Líber (ND-*): 0.3% (-0.1)
Dentinho (PPM/PTP-ECR|*): 0.3% (+0.3)
Mendes (RIR-*): 0.2% (+0.2)

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Portugal, Final election result:

Lisbon city council seat projection

PSD/CDS/IL-EPP|RE: 8 (+1)
PS/L/BE/PAN-S&D|G/EFA|LEFT: 6 (-2)
CH-PfE: 2 (+2)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 1 (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Portugal, Final election result:

Local election

PSD+ (EPP): 34.3% (+2.2)
PS+ (S&D): 33.1% (-4.0)
CH (PfE): 11.9% (+7.7)
CDU (LEFT|Greens/EFA): 5.7% (-2.5)
Ind. (*): 5.6% (+0.1)
IL (RE): 1.6% (+0.3)
CDS+ (EPP): 1.3% (-0.6)
L+ (Greens/EFA): 1.1% (+0.6)
BE+ (LEFT): 1.0% (-1.9)
JPP (RE): 0.5% (+0.2)
NC+ (*): 0.4% (-0.1)
PAN (Greens/EFA): 0.2% (-0.9)
ADN (→ECR): 0.2% (+0.2)
ND (*): 0.1% (new)
VP (Greens/EFA): 0.1% (+0.0)
PPM+ (ECR): 0.0%
MPT (~EPP): 0.0% (-0.1)
PLS (*): 0.0% (new)
RIR (*): 0.0%
PTP (*): 0.0% (-0.0)

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Portugal, final election result:

Local elections, mayorships won

PSD-EPP: 135 (+21)
PS-S&D: 127 (-21)
Ind.-*: 20 (+1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 12 (-7)
CDS-EPP: 7 (+1)
CH-PfE: 3 (+3)
NC-*: 2 (+2)
JPP-RE: 1
L-G/EFA: 1

+/- vs. 2021 election

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

Portugal, Intercampus poll:

Presidential election

Gouveia e Melo (*): 22% (+3)
M. Mendes (*-EPP): 20% (+4)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 19% (+5)
Seguro (PS-S&D): 10% (-4)
Cotrim (IL-RE): 10% (+1)
Martins (BE-LEFT): 6% (+1)
Filipe (CDU-LEFT|Greens/EFA): 4% (+2)

+/- vs. 07-14 August 2025

Fieldwork: 01-08 October 2025
Sample size: 802

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Portugal, Pitagórica poll:

Presidential election

Gouveia e Melo (*): 27% (-9)
M. Mendes (*-EPP): 20.5% (-5)
Seguro (PS-S&D): 18.5% (+4.5)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 14% (+1)
Cotrim (IL-RE): 9% (new)
Tavares (L-Greens/EFA): 3% (new)
Filipe (CDU-LEFT|Greens/EFA): 2.5% (new)
Martins (BE-LEFT): 2% (new)

+/- vs. 23-27 February 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 625

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Spain, CIS poll:

PSOE-S&D: 35% (+2)
PP-EPP: 20% (-4)
VOX-PfE: 18% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+1)
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 1% (-1)
Junts-NI: 1%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 0%
UPN-*: 0%

+/- vs. 01-06 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-07 October 2025
Sample size: 4,029

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 20.5% (+1.5)
F-G/EFA: 12.5% (-0.5)
I-EPP: 12% (-1)
V-RE: 10.5% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 9.5% (+0.5)
O-PfE: 9% (+0.5)
Ø-LEFT: 6.5% (-1)
C-EPP: 6% (-1)
B-RE: 5%
M-RE: 3.5% (-0.5)
Å→G/EFA: 3% (+1)
H-*: 1.5% (-0.5)

+/- vs. 01-06 October 2025

Fieldwork: 06-12 October 2025
Sample size: 1004

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 27%
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 17%
LDEM-RE: 16% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 5-6 October 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 2,321

➤ europeelects.eu/uk