North Macedonia, Preliminary final result - first round:

Skopje mayoral election

Gjorgjievski (VMRO-DPMNE-EPP): 41.6% (+1.1)
Mecinovikj (Levica~LEFT): 13.9% (+4.3)
Bakiu (VREDI~NI|S&D): 12.7% (new)
Shukova (SDSM-S&D): 12.1% (-24.7)
Redzhepi (NAI~S&D|NI): 11.9% (new)
Markovski (Independent-*): 3.5% (new)
Trajanovski (LDP/GROM+-RE): 1.5% (-3.3)
Amet (UR-*): 1.1% (new)
Tortevski (Tvoja-*): 0.4% (-0.8)

+/- vs. 2021 first round election result

➤ europeelects.eu/north-macedonia

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 26% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 17%
LDEM-RE: 15% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 15% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 12-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 19-20 October 2025
Sample size: 2,396

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Netherlands, Verian poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PVV-PfE: 34 (+3)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25
CDA-EPP: 23
D66-RE: 16 (+2)
VVD-RE: 15 (+1)
JA21~ECR: 12 (-1)
SP-LEFT: 4
FvD-ESN: 4 (-1)
DENK-*: 3 (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 3
SGP-ECR: 3
Volt-G/EFA: 3 (-1)
BBB-EPP: 2 (-2)
CU-EPP: 2 (-1)
50PLUS-RE: 1 (-1)
NSC-EPP: 0

+/- vs. 10-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 17-20 October 2025
Sample size: 1,473

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Dutch politics continues to suffer from political impasses, short governments, and frequent elections. What happened to the “poldermodel”? Read our latest analysis by Nassreddin Taibi:

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7386366273263353856

Netherlands: eight days ahead of the next national parliament election, right-wing PVV-PfE leads our polling average with 21%.

Centre-left and green GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D polls in second place with 16%, followed by centre-right CDA (EPP) with 15%.

See more: https://europeelects.eu/netherlands/

Netherlands, Opiniehuis poll:

Voters of Turkish, Moroccan, Surinamese, and Caribbean origin

Demographic vote national parliament election

DENK (*): 40%
GL/PvdA (Greens/EFA|S&D): 22%
PvdD (LEFT): 14%
PVV (PfE): 4%
VVD (RE): 4%
D66 (RE): 4%
SP (LEFT): 2%
Volt (Greens/EFA): 2%
NSC (EPP): 1%
CDA (EPP): 1%
CU (EPP): 1%
JA21 (~ECR): 1%
BBB (EPP): 0%
FvD (ESN): 0%
SGP (ECR): 0%
50PLUS (RE): 0%


Fieldwork: 26 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,736

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Switzerland, Jura regional parliament election:

Final result

C-EPP: 26% (+2)
PS-S&D: 22% (+2)
UDC~RE|ESN|ECR: 15% (+4)
PLR-RE: 12% (-2)
PCS-EPP: 10%
V-G/EFA: 9% (-3)
CSPOP-LEFT: 4%
PVL-RE: 2% (-3)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

Germany, INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 27%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24.5% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 11%
BSW-NI: 4.5% (+0.5)
FDP-RE: 4%

+/- vs. 13-17 October 2025

Fieldwork: 17-20 October 2025
Sample size: 2006

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, Forsa poll:

AfD-ESN: 26%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24%
SPD-S&D: 14% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 11% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 07-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 14-20 October 2025
Sample size: 2505

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Netherlands, EenVandaag Opiniepanel poll:

Suitable to be prime minister

Bontenbal (CDA-EPP): 43%
Timmermans (GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D): 27%
Jetten (D66-RE): 25%
Wilders (PfE-PfE): 21%
Eerdmans (JA21~ECR): 12%
Yeşilgöz (VVD-RE): 9%

Fieldwork: 20 October 2025
Sample size: 29,042
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

Sweden, Novus poll:

S-S&D: 34.9%
SD-ECR: 22.6% (-1)
M-EPP: 18.0% (+1)
V-LEFT: 6.9%
C-RE: 5.4%
MP-G/EFA: 4.4% (-1)
KD-EPP: 4.0% (+1)
L-RE: 2.2% (-1)

+/- vs. 08-19 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-19 October 2025
Sample size: 2,441

➤ europeelects.eu/sweden

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

REFORM~NI: 31% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 22%
CON~ECR: 19% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 13% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 10% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 17-20 October 2025
Sample size: 2,084

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

We make our data available to students and academics!

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Italy, Termometro Politico poll:

FdI-ECR: 29.8%
PD-S&D: 22.0%
M5S-LEFT: 12.1%
LEGA-PfE: 8.6%
FI-EPP: 8.6%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6.4% (-1)
Azione-RE: 3.1%
IV-RE: 2.4%
+E-RE: 1.8%
DSP~NI: 1.4%
NM-EPP: 1.1%
PTD-LEFT: 1.1%

+/- vs. 07-09 October 2025

Fieldwork: 14-16 October 2025
Sample size: 3,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 31%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 13%
LEGA-PfE: 8.5% (-0.5)
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 08-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 15-20 October 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

The above issue was solved!

Sorry for the inconvenience.

Italy, BiDiMedia poll:

FdI-ECR: 29% (+1)
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12.5% (-0.5)
FI-EPP: 8%
LEGA-PfE: 8% (-0.5)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 1%
DSP~NI: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
DRIN-*: 1%
PRC-LEFT: 1%
PaP~LEFT: 1%
PLD-RE: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 18-22 September 2025

Fieldwork: 15-19 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Hungary, Alapjogokért Központ poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 47%
TISZA-EPP: 42% (+16)
MH-ESN: 6%
MKKP→G/EFA: 3% (-3)
DK-S&D: 2% (new)

+/- vs. 22-24 May 2025

Fieldwork: 13-16 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Poland, OGB poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 38% (+4)
PiS-ECR: 30% (+2)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15.5% (-0.5)
KKP-NI: 6% (-1)
Lewica-S&D: 4%
PSL-EPP: 3% (-1)
Razem-LEFT: 2% (-2)
PL2050-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 08-13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 15-22 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

Poland, OGB poll:

One list of the government coalition

KO/Lewica/PL2050/PSL-EPP|RE|G/EFA|S&D: 47%
PiS-ECR: 29%
Kon-ESN|PfE: 16.5%
KKP-NI: 6%
Razem-LEFT: 2%


Fieldwork: 15-22 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland