France, OpinionWay poll:

Others: 6%

RN and allies-PfE: 34% (+1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 24% (-5)
Ensemble-RE: 16% (-6)
LR-EPP: 13% (+4)
REC-ESN: 5% (+4)
LO-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 06-07 September 2025
Sample size: 1,012

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Bardella (RN-PfE) run

Presidential election

Bardella (RN-PfE): 35% (+5)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 15% (-6)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 12% (+2)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 10% (-3)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 6% (+1)
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 1% (n.a.)
Arthaud (*): 1%

+/- vs. 19 May 2025

Fieldwork: 07 September 2025
Sample size: 1,124

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Le Pen (RN-PfE) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 34% (+3)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 16% (-5)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 12% (+2)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 10% (-2)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 6% (+1)
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 1% (n.a.)
Arthaud (*): 1%

+/- vs. 19 May 2025

Fieldwork: 07 September 2025
Sample size: 1,124

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Scenario: Attal (RE-RE) and Bardella (RN-PfE) run

Presidential election

Bardella (RN-PfE): 35% (+4)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 14% (+3)
Attal (RE-RE): 12% (-3)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 11% (-6)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 6% (+1)
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 1% (n.a.)
Arthaud (*): 1%

+/- vs. 19 May 2025

Fieldwork: 07 September 2025
Sample size: 1,124

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Italy, EMG poll:

FdI-ECR: 28% (-1)
PD-S&D: 22% (-1)
M5S-LEFT: 13% (+1)
FI-EPP: 10% (+1)
LEGA-PfE: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3% (+1)
+E-RE: 2%
NM-EPP: 1%
DSP~NI: 1%
PLD-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 06 June 2025

Fieldwork: 17 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Scenario: Attal (RE-RE) and Le Pen (RN-PfE) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 34% (+3)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14% (-1)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 14% (+3)
Attal (RE-RE): 12% (-3)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 11% (-5)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 6% (+1)
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2% (n.a.)
Arthaud (*): 1%

+/- vs. 19 May 2025

Fieldwork: 07 September 2025
Sample size: 1,124

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Italy, Ipsos poll:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 55%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 41%
Bundu (*-LEFT|S&D): 4%


Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Local election

KE (RE|ECR): 23% (+1)
I (EPP): 21% (-1)
Local Coalitions (*): 20%
EKRE (PfE): 13%
RE (RE): 10% (+1)
SDE (S&D): 8%
PP (→EPP): 3%
E200 (→EPP): 1%
KOOS (*): 1%
ERK (*): 0% (-1)
EER (Greens/EFA): 0%

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Italy, Ipsos poll:

Tuscany regional parliament election

CSX (S&D|LEFT|RE|G/EFA): 55% (+1)
CDX (ECR|EPP|PfE): 42% (+1)
TR (LEFT|S&D): 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn city council election

KE (RE|ECR): 42%
I (EPP): 15% (-1)
SDE (S&D): 14% (-1)
RE (RE): 11% (+1)
EKRE (PfE): 7%
PP (→EPP): 4%
Local Coalitions (*): 3%
E200 (→EPP): 2%
KOOS (*): 1%
EER (Greens/EFA): 1%
ERK (*): 1%

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Norway, InFact poll:

Ap-S&D: 29% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 25% (+1)
H-EPP: 14% (-1)
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 5% (+1)
V-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: 06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,094

➤ europeelects.eu/norway

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 38
I-EPP: 13 (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12 (-1)
RE-RE: 10 (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 6
E200→EPP: 0

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
KE-RE|ECR: 21% (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 19% (+2)
RE-RE: 13% (-2)
SDE-S&D: 10% (-2)
PP→EPP: 5% (-1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 22-28 September 2025

Fieldwork: 28 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Italy, Tecnè poll:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 56%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 42%
Bundu (TR-LEFT|S&D): 2%

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 25% (+3)
Smer-NI: 18% (-2)
Republika-ESN: 12% (+2)
Hlas-NI: 8% (-2)
S-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
KDH-EPP: 5% (-1)
D-EPP: 5% (-1)
MA-EPP: 4%
SR~PfE: 3%
SNS~PfE: 2%
ZĽ~EPP: 1% (-1)
KÚ-ECR: 1% (+1)
ĽSNS-NI: 1%
NK-*: 0%

+/- vs. 03-07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia

Estonia, SALK projection:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 35 (-3)
I-EPP: 13 (+8)
SDE-S&D: 12 (+6)
RE-RE: 9 (-6)
EKRE-PfE: 5 (-3)
PP→EPP: 5 (new)
E200→EPP: 0 (-7)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: October 2025
Sample size: 1,850

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Spain, NC Report poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 16% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 1%
UPN-*: 0%

+/- vs. 01-06 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-04 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

REFORM~NI: 33% (+3)
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 19% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 14%
GREENS-G/EFA: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,003

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:

PVV-PfE: 20%
CDA-EPP: 16%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 14% (-1)
D66-RE: 9% (-1)
VVD-RE: 9%
JA21~ECR: 8% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (+1)
DENK-*: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 3%
FvD-ESN: 3%
BBB-EPP: 3% (-1)
SP-LEFT: 3%
SGP-ECR: 3%
CU-EPP: 2%
50PLUS-RE: 1%
NSC-EPP: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,079

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Hungary, Republikon Intézet poll:

TISZA-EPP: 43% (+2)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 35%
MH-ESN: 8%
DK-S&D: 5% (-2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 5%
Momentum-RE: 1%
P-G/EFA: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 21-27 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary