Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Local election

KE (RE|ECR): 24%
Local Coalitions (*): 19% (-5)
I (EPP): 16% (+8)
EKRE (PfE): 12% (-1)
RE (RE): 9% (-8)
SDE (S&D): 9% (+4)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: 03-13 October 2025
Sample size: 30,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Tallinn city council election

KE (RE|ECR): 46% (+1)
SDE (S&D): 17% (-2)
I (EPP): 11% (+2)
RE (RE): 10%
EKRE (PfE): 5% (-1)
PP (→EPP): 5%
E200 (→EPP): 4% (+2)
KOOS (*): 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 25 September - 02 October 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 13 October 2025
Sample size: 855

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 39 (+1)
SDE-S&D: 14 (+8)
I-EPP: 10 (+5)
RE-RE: 8 (-7)
EKRE-PfE: 4 (-4)
PP→EPP: 4 (new)
E200→EPP: 0 (-7)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: 25 September - 13 October 2025
Sample size: 855

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 37 (-1)
SDE-S&D: 13 (+7)
I-EPP: 9 (+4)
RE-RE: 8 (-7)
EKRE-PfE: 4 (-4)
E200→EPP: 4 (-3)
PP→EPP: 4 (new)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: 25 September - 13 October 2025
Sample size: 855

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 41 (+3)
SDE-S&D: 15 (+9)
I-EPP: 10 (+5)
RE-RE: 9 (-6)
EKRE-PfE: 4 (-4)
E200→EPP: 0 (-7)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: 25 September - 13 October 2025
Sample size: 855

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

Local election

KE (RE|ECR): 24%
Local Coalitions (*): 19% (-5)
I (EPP): 16% (+8)
EKRE (PfE): 12% (-1)
RE (RE): 9% (-8)
SDE (S&D): 9% (+4)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: 03-13 October 2025
Sample size: 1,237

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Hungary, XXI. Század Intézet poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 44% (-10)
TISZA-EPP: 41% (new)
MH-ESN: 7% (+1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 5% (+2)
DK-S&D: 3% (new)

+/- vs. 2022 election

Fieldwork: 06-07 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Hungary, IDEA poll:

TISZA-EPP: 49% (+1)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 38% (-1)
DK-S&D: 5%
MH-ESN: 4%
MKKP→G/EFA: 2%
Momentum-RE: 1% (n.a.)
2RK-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 31 August - 06 September 2025

Fieldwork: 30 September - 07 October 2025
Sample size: 1,500

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Hungary, 21 Kutatóközpont poll:

TISZA-EPP: 53% (+1)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 35% (-1)
MH-ESN: 6% (+1)
DK-S&D: 3% (+1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 2% (-2)

+/- vs. 27-31 August 2025

Fieldwork: 03-10 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Hungary, Publicus poll:

TISZA-EPP: 45% (-1)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 38% (+1)
DK-S&D: 7%
MH-ESN: 5% (-1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4%
MSZP-S&D: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 08-12 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-13 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Hungary, Real-PR 93 poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 49% (+2)
TISZA-EPP: 40%
MH-ESN: 5%
MKKP→G/EFA: 3%
DK-S&D: 2% (-2)

+/- vs. 08-10 September 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Local election

KE (RE|ECR): 23.5% (+0.5)
I (EPP): 20% (+0.5)
Local Coalitions (*): 17% (-3)
EKRE (PfE): 15% (+1.5)
RE (RE): 9% (-1)
SDE (S&D): 9% (+1)
PP (→EPP): 4% (+1)
KOOS (*): 1%
E200 (→EPP): 1%
EER (Greens/EFA): 0%
ERK (*): 0%

+/- vs. 29 September - 13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 07-17 October 2025
Sample size: 11,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn city council election

KE (RE|ECR): 42% (-1.5)
SDE (S&D): 16% (+1)
I (EPP): 13.5% (+0.5)
RE (RE): 10% (-1)
EKRE (PfE): 8% (+1)
PP (→EPP): 6% (+2)
KOOS (*): 2% (+1)
E200 (→EPP): 1% (-1)
EER (Greens/EFA): 1%
Local Coalitions (*): 1% (-1)
ERK (*): 0%

+/- vs. 29 September - 13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 07-17 October 2025
Sample size: 11,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 36 (-3)
SDE-S&D: 13
I-EPP: 11 (-1)
RE-RE: 8 (-1)
EKRE-PfE: 6
PP→EPP: 5 (+5)
E200→EPP: 0

+/- vs. 29 September - 13 October 2025

Fieldwork: 07-17 October 2025
Sample size: 11,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Italy, EMG poll:

FdI-ECR: 28.5% (+0.5)
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 13%
FI-EPP: 9% (-1)
LEGA-PfE: 9% (+1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2% (-0.5)
+E-RE: 2%
DSP~NI: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PLD-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 17 September - 01 October 2025

Fieldwork: 01-15 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Austria, Market poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 38%
ÖVP-EPP: 21% (+1)
SPÖ-S&D: 17%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
NEOS-RE: 7% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 4%

+/- vs. 06-07 October 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

Austria, Market poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 38%
ÖVP-EPP: 21% (+1)
SPÖ-S&D: 17%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
NEOS-RE: 7% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 4%

+/- vs. 06-07 October 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

I-EPP: 23% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 20% (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 15% (+3)
SDE-S&D: 14% (-3.5)
RE-RE: 13% (-1)
PP→EPP: 9% (+1)
E200→EPP: 2.5% (+0.5)
KOOS-*: 1.5% (-0.5)
EER-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 10-17 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-13 October 2025
Sample size: 1,684

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

The rather abrupt decline of the long-dominant Reform Party (RE-RE) has shaken Estonia’s political landscape and plunged the country into uncharted territory. Equally as abrupt has been the swift revitalisation of the Centre Party (KE-RE|ECR). Both stories are expected to have a noticeable impact on the local election results in the country’s most populous battleground — the capital, Tallinn.

https://europeelects.eu/2025/10/07/estonia-local-elections-uncharted/

Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PVV-PfE: 28 (-3)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 24 (-1)
CDA-EPP: 24 (+2)
D66-RE: 17 (+3)
VVD-RE: 16 (+1)
JA21~ECR: 11 (-2)
FvD-ESN: 6 (+1)
BBB-EPP: 4
SP-LEFT: 4
DENK-*: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 3
SGP-ECR: 3
CU-EPP: 3
Volt-G/EFA: 2 (-1)
50PLUS-RE: 1
NSC-EPP: 0

+/- vs. 10 October 2025

Fieldwork: 17 October 2025

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands