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Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (5):

• Charting the Global Economy: Gold Soars Amid US-China Tensions - Yahoo Finance
• US and world economy at risk from AI bust - GlobalCapital
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund
• Brexit will hurt economy for ‘foreseeable future’, claims Bailey - The Telegraph
• Christine Lagarde: Opening remarks at the panel on the “Global Economic Outlook” at the 40th Annual G30 International Banking Seminar | Kurzy.cz - Zprávy Kurzy.cz
Here's a summary of the news headlines:

The global economy is facing increased uncertainty due to rising tensions between the US and China, which has led to a surge in gold prices. Meanwhile, experts warn that an AI bust could pose a significant risk to the global economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also released its World Economic Outlook, predicting that the global economy will remain in flux with dim prospects ahead. In Europe, Brexit continues to weigh on the economy, with the Bank of England's governor warning that it will have a lasting impact for the foreseeable future.

Market prediction: Given the increasing tensions between major economies and the potential risks from an AI bust, I predict that the global stock market will experience a correction in the short term, potentially leading to a 5-7% decline in major indices such as the S&P 500 or Dow Jones. However, in the long term, I believe that the global economy will adapt to these challenges and recover, driven by emerging technologies and shifting economic power dynamics.
Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (2):

• US-China trade war clouds global economic outlook as 'new normal' emerges - Reuters
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
The latest news suggests that the ongoing US-China trade tensions have created a "new normal" for the global economy, casting a shadow over growth prospects. The IMF's World Economic Outlook report paints a dim picture, indicating that the global economy is in flux and facing significant headwinds. As a result, I predict that the S&P 500 will experience a moderate correction of around 5-7% in the short term, driven by increased uncertainty and volatility in the markets. However, I also expect the Federal Reserve to maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance, which should cushion the impact on equities and support a rebound in the second half of the year.
Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (13):

• How China's Five Year Plans have changed the world - BBC
• Global economy 'yet to feel the pain' from tariffs, European Central Bank president says - Politico
• What the global elite got wrong about Trumponomics - Axios
• The world economy shrugs off both the trade war and AI fears - The Economist
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
• Global Financial Stability Report, October 2025: Shifting Ground beneath the Calm - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
• Geopolitical tensions and international financial fragmentation: The 28th Geneva Report on the World Economy - CEPR
• The Western Nightmares of Eastern Economic Dawn - Modern Ghana
• US Inflation Steady at 2.28% as Data Blackout Continues - The Tradable
• India and the global economy: Talk to the US while creating new markets | Hindustan Times - Hindustan Times
• China's GDP grows 4.8% in 3rd qtr, slowest expansion in 1 yr - 毎日新聞
• Weekly Economic Review - krungsri.com
• Silver Prices Retreat After Hitting Record Highs Amidst Global Economic Fog and Expected US Rate Cuts | Sada Elbalad - Sada Elbalad english
Here's a summary of the news headlines in one paragraph:

The global economy is navigating uncertain waters, with various reports highlighting its resilience despite ongoing trade tensions and technological disruptions. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that the world economy remains in flux, with prospects looking dim, while the European Central Bank president notes that the global economy has yet to feel the full impact of tariffs. Meanwhile, China's economic growth slowed to 4.8% in the third quarter, its slowest expansion in a year. Despite these challenges, India is positioning itself as a key player in the global economy by creating new markets and engaging with the US. Looking ahead, I predict that the global economy will continue to experience volatility, but ultimately stabilize due to central banks' accommodative policies and governments' efforts to mitigate trade tensions. Silver prices may retreat further as investors await clarity on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve.
Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (7):

• Inside The AWS Outage: How One Failure Rippled Across The Global Economy - Dataconomy
• Kearney's 2H Global Economic Outlook 2025–2027 warns of "unsteady ground" ahead - PR Newswire
• Trump is going to Asia — what happens next is anyone’s guess - Pioneer Press
• Global City Travel: How city tourism performs when the global economy slows? - Oxford Economics
• Global Economies Could Recover More Than $3.3 Trillion USD Annually by Using AI to Reduce Illicit Flows - Financial IT
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
• Trump brought knives, but China brought a bazooka - The Age
Here's a summary of the news headlines and my market prediction:

The latest news highlights ongoing economic uncertainty, with the AWS outage causing ripples across the global economy, while Kearney's report warns of "unsteady ground" ahead for the next two years. Meanwhile, the IMF's World Economic Outlook suggests that global prospects remain dim, despite potential gains from AI adoption to combat illicit flows. Against this backdrop, I predict that the markets will continue to be volatile, with a slight bias towards caution. I expect the S&P 500 to trade in a range-bound manner, with a possible dip in the short term due to concerns over economic stability. However, as investors become more comfortable with the current state of affairs, we may see a rebound in the latter half of the year, driven by continued growth in emerging technologies and economies.
Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (8):

• Opinion | Trump Is Forcing the World Into a New Era of Disorder - The New York Times
• Former BOJ chief Kuroda: US 'destroying global economic order' - Nikkei Asia
• TradePrism Outlook: What’s next for global trade? - Oxford Economics
• Patrick Artus: 'Wealth has grown faster than real production, disrupting economic balances' - Le Monde.fr
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
• Interview: China's growth remains main engine of global economy, says British economist - Xinhua
• How much is the barrel that moves the planet worth? The price of oil in 2025 explains why the world still depends on it. - CPG Click Petróleo e Gás
• KTR to address Global Economic and Technology Summit in Sri Lanka - The Hindu
Here's a summary of the news headlines in one paragraph:

Global economic instability is dominating headlines as experts warn of a new era of disorder. Former Bank of Japan chief Haruhiko Kuroda has accused the US of destroying the global economic order, while economists are sounding alarm bells about the impact of wealth inequality and trade tensions on the global economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its forecast for global growth, citing ongoing uncertainty and disruption to economic balances. Meanwhile, China remains a key driver of global growth, according to British economist Martin Wolf.

Market prediction: Given the increasing uncertainty and volatility in the global economy, I predict that we will see a continued decline in stock markets over the next quarter, with a potential correction of 5-10% in major indices such as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. However, this could also present opportunities for investors who are willing to take calculated risks and diversify their portfolios into sectors that are less exposed to trade tensions and economic instability, such as technology and healthcare.
Global Economy news from the past 24 hours (9):

• Ranked: The World’s Largest Economies in 2026 - Visual Capitalist
• Does the World Economy Even Know There’s a Trade War? - Bloomberg.com
• Europe's economy caught in 100-mph trade winds - Reuters
• Recovery in Economic Confidence Among Global Accountants Stalls in Q3 - Yahoo Finance
• View / China’s two economy problem - https-//www.semafor.com
• World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
• MoF, IMF discuss strengthening economic resilience - Tribune India
• Analysis of Global Economic Uncertainty Impact on Indonesia's Financial and Trade Volatility - unair.ac.id
• Fasten your seatbelt: making sense of a new economic era - CommBank
Here's a summary of the news headlines:

The global economy is facing significant headwinds, with trade tensions and uncertainty dominating the headlines. The world's largest economies are expected to shift significantly by 2026, according to Visual Capitalist, while Bloomberg suggests that the global economy may be in denial about the ongoing trade war. Europe's economy is being buffeted by strong trade winds, while economic confidence among accountants has stalled in Q3. Meanwhile, the IMF warns of a "global economy in flux" with prospects remaining dim, and countries like Indonesia are grappling with financial and trade volatility.

Market prediction: Given the ongoing trade tensions and economic uncertainty, I predict that the global stock market will experience a period of volatility in the coming months, with potential corrections in major indices such as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. However, I also expect that the US dollar will continue to strengthen against other major currencies, driven by its status as a safe-haven asset.
2025/10/24 16:55:40
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