Big Dog Intel🐾
It was always Dodgers Feels good to make a correct call on a favorite winning these days 😂 It seemed so obvious that Yankees, Mariners would win... Cappers even liked Orioles and Marlins! MLB is a hard nut to crack lol. Adding favorites chart again today…
MLB
3/4 favs hit yesterday. Yankees like I said was not a smart move. We'll see how today goes I guess.
Underdogs:
1️⃣ Twins ML — Reds are 25-37 on Wednesdays & 48-46 as home favs (-13% ROI)
2️⃣ Padres ML — 49-49 as away underdogs (12% ROI)
Mariners are 15-8 as a home underdog in the first game of the day but already down 1:3 in the 5th inning. Yankees on a losing streak and in a slump against a strong Angles as an underdog. Braves — possible trap imo.
3/4 favs hit yesterday. Yankees like I said was not a smart move. We'll see how today goes I guess.
Underdogs:
Mariners are 15-8 as a home underdog in the first game of the day but already down 1:3 in the 5th inning. Yankees on a losing streak and in a slump against a strong Angles as an underdog. Braves — possible trap imo.
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Some of you were asking me about cappers plays only without any analytics (unlike my original paid service).
I know more about cappers than you guys do — most of them are not worth your time or money.
But you still want them 🤷♂️
So let's try something new:
No analytics. No overthinking. Just cappers ( mostly cappers who only do only 1 play a day )
I need people to test out this new stuff. First 50 people to message me
Let's test it out through the rest of the week see how it goes, dm me
UPD: SPOTS GONE. I'LL REPORT HOW IT GOES
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NBA
The over hit last game, but live line was as high as 235.5. Personally grabbed under 232.5 and cashed.
O/U is 222.5 today. Even lower. Again, I'll try to grab a live bet around 230 here.
Hopefully we see game 7. Speaking of... Drake has made a bet on OKC ML today. Is the curse real? 👀
🏀 🔥
🏀 ❤️
The over hit last game, but live line was as high as 235.5. Personally grabbed under 232.5 and cashed.
O/U is 222.5 today. Even lower. Again, I'll try to grab a live bet around 230 here.
Hopefully we see game 7. Speaking of... Drake has made a bet on OKC ML today. Is the curse real? 👀
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MLB Trends
No clear trend in favor of favorites or underdogs right now. Posting sheets strictly based off days of the week — underdogs have been profitable on Thursdays.
My short list of underdogs for today:
1️⃣ Orioles ML — 26-16 on Thu (12-6 as underdogs)
2️⃣ Angels ML. But Yankees managed to avoid another sweep
3️⃣ White Sox (was hoping they'd get at least one win in today's doubleheader but doesn't look like they'll do it), Marlins and Athletics — home underdogs are 19-14 on Thursdays (home dogs went 0-4 yesterday)
No clear trend in favor of favorites or underdogs right now. Posting sheets strictly based off days of the week — underdogs have been profitable on Thursdays.
My short list of underdogs for today:
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Forwarded from Cappers Intel +
Just when I thought OKC / Pacers UNDER was the lock ... all cappers poured in on the UNDER too... 😟 Whatever I'll still wait for a live bet here
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Big Dog Intel🐾
NBA The over hit last game, but live line was as high as 235.5. Personally grabbed under 232.5 and cashed. O/U is 222.5 today. Even lower. Again, I'll try to grab a live bet around 230 here. Hopefully we see game 7. Speaking of... Drake has made a bet…
The O/U was up to 229.5 in the 1st quarter ... EASY! Game 7 here we go!
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MLB TREND
Favorites are hitting 60% on Friday so posting this chart today.
As you can see the chart is pretty flat - dogs/favs have been 50/50 recently. But the chart is on the trend line (the blue line) and if it goes upwards I think we can see more favorites winning until the all star break.
If the chart reaches the black line from which it has bounced twice already we might see underdogs dominate again until the all star break.
Favorites are hitting 60% on Friday so posting this chart today.
As you can see the chart is pretty flat - dogs/favs have been 50/50 recently. But the chart is on the trend line (the blue line) and if it goes upwards I think we can see more favorites winning until the all star break.
If the chart reaches the black line from which it has bounced twice already we might see underdogs dominate again until the all star break.
And since favs are 60% on Fridays, I have another trend:
Early game home teams are 10-2 on Fridays — applies to Cubs ML (-140)
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MLB HOME DOGS 🌭
Home dogs are not doing well in June but I will start paying closer attention to this stuff since NHL is done and NBA is almost over.
Today's home dogs (my priority)
🥇 Athletics +104 (2.04)
🥈 Marlins +130 (2.30)
🥉 Angels +140 (2.40)
Pirates +160 (2.60)
Rockies +155 (2.55)
Home dogs are not doing well in June but I will start paying closer attention to this stuff since NHL is done and NBA is almost over.
Today's home dogs (my priority)
Pirates +160 (2.60)
Rockies +155 (2.55)
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JUICED ODDS MLB FAVORITES
So I have two sheets here:
1. All straight bets on favorites of -200 or shorter (<=1.50 odds);
2. Same thing but if there's more than one such juiced favorite in a game day then I tracked it as parlays.
Both options are profitable (although the parlay option has been declining) but straight bets are doing better (average odds are -250 or 1.40)
I'll start posting them regularly now, curious to track this approach
Today's plays:
Yankees -320
Blue Jays -200
Phillies -200
Dodgers -190 (DOESNT QUALIFY YET)
Parlay all together as a separate play — will see how dodgers line closes
So I have two sheets here:
1. All straight bets on favorites of -200 or shorter (<=1.50 odds);
2. Same thing but if there's more than one such juiced favorite in a game day then I tracked it as parlays.
Both options are profitable (although the parlay option has been declining) but straight bets are doing better (average odds are -250 or 1.40)
I'll start posting them regularly now, curious to track this approach
Today's plays:
Yankees -320
Blue Jays -200
Phillies -200
Dodgers -190 (DOESNT QUALIFY YET)
Parlay all together as a separate play — will see how dodgers line closes
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MLB
Underdogs barked yesterday (winning 43% of games this month - and even profitable overall).
Saturdays have been one of the better days for underdogs statistically (43.9% win rate). My short list of away underdogs today:
1️⃣ Tigers ML. 30-15 SU off 2 losses
2️⃣ Nationals ML. Dodgers are in a bad spot here
3️⃣ Orioles ML. 13-8 SU as dogs on Saturdays
Underdogs barked yesterday (winning 43% of games this month - and even profitable overall).
Saturdays have been one of the better days for underdogs statistically (43.9% win rate). My short list of away underdogs today:
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Night night play 💤
Nationals / Dodgers under 9.5 (-102) 1U
Nationals / Dodgers under 9.5 (-102) 1U
Experimenting with night MLB games. 2-2 record + 0-4 on Ohtani HR marti 😭
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MLB TREND
Sundays are mixed but decided to do favs sheet today since yesterday they did so well
Interesting angles:
1️⃣ Dbacks: 20-6 off 3 wins; 60% Sundays win rate
2️⃣ Rays ML: Tigers are 4-11 off 3 losses
3️⃣ Reds ML: 25-14 as away favs
Sundays are mixed but decided to do favs sheet today since yesterday they did so well
Interesting angles:
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NBA
You already know what I'll say — THE UNDER IS THE MF PLAY.
What else can I say if they don't score?
Books set the O/U at 214.5 — 7 points lower compared to last game 🙄
Well... I'm gonna be even more bold and say that these two teams won't even score over 200 combined points. Don't care who wins, all I care about is the Finals tension and close game🤫
Who you think wins?
🏀 — 🔥
🏀 — ❤️
You already know what I'll say — THE UNDER IS THE MF PLAY.
What else can I say if they don't score?
Books set the O/U at 214.5 — 7 points lower compared to last game 🙄
Well... I'm gonna be even more bold and say that these two teams won't even score over 200 combined points. Don't care who wins, all I care about is the Finals tension and close game
Who you think wins?
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