Forwarded from MLB INTEL LAB ⚾️
7/2 Intel MLB unders
Orioles under 8 -115
Guardians under 8 -105
Padres game 2 under 8 -114
Orioles under 8 -115
Guardians under 8 -105
Padres game 2 under 8 -114
Big Dog Intel🐾
JUICED ODDS FAVS 🧃 Rays Astros Dodgers The three teams that qualify for now Rays are -125 ML when posted * Favorites of -200 or heavier are 20-9 on Wednesdays this season. Rays also fall into a 59-38 first game trend.
Like I said, betting juiced favs pre game or waiting for live bets - both options work. I prefer live bets simply because I can't stand betting -200 plays
Yankees ❌ (I'll never trust them again)
Unders went 2-1✅
Juiced favs swept ✅ (could've live bet all of them too)
Full schedule today with WNBA and CFL to top it off😎
Unders went 2-1✅
Juiced favs swept ✅ (could've live bet all of them too)
Full schedule today with WNBA and CFL to top it off
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Forwarded from MLB INTEL LAB ⚾️
7/3 Intel MLB unders
Giants under 8.5 -110
Guardians under 8.5 -110
Rockies under 11.5 -125
Mets under 8 +100
Giants under 8.5 -110
Guardians under 8.5 -110
Rockies under 11.5 -125
Mets under 8 +100
Home underdogs are doing ok so far in July (5 wins 4 losses at average +125). Thursday is also a good day statistically so let's see...
🥇 Blue Jays. "no way yankees get swept" type fade (also Yankees are 17-21 SU on Thu)
🥈 Rockies. Astros are 14-19 SU off 3 wins
🥉 Dbacks. I think 50/50 here.
There's also Marlins as home underdogs in the early game ... but on Thursdays home teams don't win as often (6-8) 🤓 And then there's Nationals ... but Tigers are 59-46 off 1 loss + 29-20 on Thursdays + 39-18 as away fav.
There's also Marlins as home underdogs in the early game ... but on Thursdays home teams don't win as often (6-8) 🤓 And then there's Nationals ... but Tigers are 59-46 off 1 loss + 29-20 on Thursdays + 39-18 as away fav.
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MLB dog/fav
So the task is pretty simple — just pick one team (dog or fav) according to the stats on the season... Any team that is not named Yankees...
Underdogs today. And I'm going with an away underdog. A team that rarely lets me down when they're underdogs.
You guessed it — Angels (+130)
😀 😀 😀
So the task is pretty simple — just pick one team (dog or fav) according to the stats on the season... Any team that is not named Yankees...
Underdogs today. And I'm going with an away underdog. A team that rarely lets me down when they're underdogs.
You guessed it — Angels (+130)
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Forwarded from FOOTBALL INTEL LAB🏈
CFL
Totals are 50/50 today. However spreads are lopsided: underdogs are 18-8 ATS on Thursdays (home underdogs are 28-38 SU - 20.4% ROI)
The move here is ... Calgary +5.5 (-110)
Totals are 50/50 today. However spreads are lopsided: underdogs are 18-8 ATS on Thursdays (home underdogs are 28-38 SU - 20.4% ROI)
The move here is ... Calgary +5.5 (-110)
WNBA and night play coming later today
( had dodgers team total under and wsox +2.5 circled for night plays yesterday, put some 🍕 money on both but didn't post neither 🥲)
( had dodgers team total under and wsox +2.5 circled for night plays yesterday, put some 🍕 money on both but didn't post neither 🥲)
HOME UNDERDOGS
2/3 yesterday with another 🥇 play cash.
I would place Nationals as the top play today but only if they were underdogs. So…
🥇no play
🥈 Marlins
🥉 Rockies
There’s also Guardians on 7 losses — that’s their max loss streak in 3 years of data. But Tigers are doing great off 2 losses and as away favorites. So I’ll skip this game.
2/3 yesterday with another 🥇 play cash.
I would place Nationals as the top play today but only if they were underdogs. So…
🥇no play
🥈 Marlins
🥉 Rockies
There’s also Guardians on 7 losses — that’s their max loss streak in 3 years of data. But Tigers are doing great off 2 losses and as away favorites. So I’ll skip this game.
MLB dog/fav
Underdogs prevailed yesterday (6-4 SU). Looking at underdogs again today.
If i haven’t said I would not bet on the Yankees, I’d go with them today: 38-31 SU as away underdog for +21% ROI). But I can’t.
Instead, I’d do a 3-way split:
Yankees ML (38-31 SU as away dog for +21% ROI)
Astros (46-34 as away dog for +22.7% ROI)
Orioles ML (59-51 as away dog for + 20% ROI)
Looks like at least 2/3 would hit here. Can also add Royals (Dbacks are 31-36 on Fridays + 21-26 off 2 losses). Such good setups that it looks like away underdogs sweep today.
Underdogs prevailed yesterday (6-4 SU). Looking at underdogs again today.
If i haven’t said I would not bet on the Yankees, I’d go with them today: 38-31 SU as away underdog for +21% ROI). But I can’t.
Instead, I’d do a 3-way split:
Yankees ML (38-31 SU as away dog for +21% ROI)
Astros (46-34 as away dog for +22.7% ROI)
Orioles ML (59-51 as away dog for + 20% ROI)
Looks like at least 2/3 would hit here. Can also add Royals (Dbacks are 31-36 on Fridays + 21-26 off 2 losses). Such good setups that it looks like away underdogs sweep today.
Forwarded from FOOTBALL INTEL LAB🏈
Nothing interesting in the CFL today
On the one hand, home underdogs are 29-38 (23.2% ROI), on the other hand favorites dominate on Fridays.
Same with totals - July is all about unders but on Fridays there’s mostly overs.
If I had to choose something, I’d go with the under. But I’m not forced so I’ll just skip.
On the one hand, home underdogs are 29-38 (23.2% ROI), on the other hand favorites dominate on Fridays.
Same with totals - July is all about unders but on Fridays there’s mostly overs.
If I had to choose something, I’d go with the under. But I’m not forced so I’ll just skip.