Underdogs prevail. Props to Mariners' 3 runs in the 9th inning.

Wednesday and Thursday on paper are underdog days in the MLB.

We'll see how we can use that.

Oilers got my coin back after Capitals lost. NHL played out like I expected.

Two games today again. We already saw Toronto / Florida game, pretty equal teams. Leafs have goalie problems which is why they're priced so low. I already see some cappers on Panthers ML. But like I said, I don't really trust cappers now. And I will do what I should've done yesterday — wait for the first game to end before betting. More so, Jets are underdogs at home - I don't think that's right.

P.S. Late NHL Playoff games are 10-4 to the OVER and 9-5 Favorites SU. Might be the time for tides to change

NBA underdogs are 5-0 straight up in conference semifinals.

Rigged? Let's bet the rigged side then!

I don't know if underdogs will keep winning. Maybe if the underdog wins in the early game (Knicks / Celtics) we will see another 2-0 underdog day yet again. But I doubt it.

My two cents: I like the over in the OKC / Nuggets game.

MLB favs went 12-3 yesterday. Thursday is a dog day on paper (favorites are 26-27 SU on Thursday). But favorites might be bouncing back after underdogs were barking to start the month.

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MLB favs dominated again. Favorites are 56-21 on Favorites. Looks like we'll see one more day like that.

OKC -5.5 is in a 9-2 spot today:

Since 2023, on Fridays, in the last game of the day, favorites are 9-2 ATS. Look, I know the probability theory and I know these games do not depend on each other ... but that's an interesting pattern 🤷‍♂️

There's also an O/U/O/U/O/U/O pattern in the last game ... so maybe OKC/Nuggets UNDER today?

Also, underdogs have covered 5 times in a row in the first game of the day in the playoffs (9-7 overall). In 2024, underdogs went 9-15. So maybe the tides are changing and favorites take over finally?

MLB underdogs did well yesterday. Favs should strike back.

NHL favorites are hitting 66% on weekends. So everything below -150 is value

And another pattern: first game totals are U/O/U/O/U/O .. so maybe we'll see Hurricanes / Caps under again.

Nuggets don't lose clutch games. Jokic > SGA.

Identical situation today: underdogs are 3-8 ATS in the last game on Saturdays (Timberwolves should cover?)

But I was right about the totals: the over in the Warriors / Timberwolves game should hit today

One underdog won yesterday. The chart is moving downwards right next to the trend line — which proves the theory that you can just bet all underdogs.

Stars / Jets should go over today (the O/U/O pattern still goes on)

46-46 ATS — favorites and underdogs ATS in the last game since 2023 playoffs. Obviously that only counts when there's more than one game.

Underdogs are 12-4 ATS in the last game on Sundays: Pacers +5.5. No opinion.

Time to revamp this channel.

Not changing my principles or strategies. Just a heads up on what you can expect here and how you can use the info.

Of course the main topic of the channel remains sports betting. My vision differs from cappers.

I'm fed up with cappers and their marketing bullshit, all they want to do is sell their plays. I don't value plays per se as much now. So here I'll be sharing my previews of game days. Favorites / underdogs, overs / unders — all that jazz. No plays, just analytics. If you're smarter than a bread stick (I'm sure you are), this will be useful for you. So, I'll just be sharing my experience on here!

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Padres losing yesterday was fun (their team total was set at 7.5; run line was -3.5 🥶Sunday is now the second-worst day for MLB favorites.

Monday pretty standard. New series of games, nothing outstanding. Home teams remain profitable (especially home favorites). Padres losing yesterday was fun (their team total was set at 7.5; run line was -3.5 🥶Sunday is now the second-worst day for MLB favorites.

Monday pretty standard. New series of games, nothing outstanding. Home teams remain profitable (especially home favorites).

NHL weekend went as planned: 3 favorites won, 1 lost.

It is only logical to bet underdogs on weekdays (I expect at least one underdog to win today).

And yesterday O/U... trend is still alive. So Canes / Capitals should stay UNDER 5.5 goals.

Late games in the NBA playoffs = underdogs. So far 12-7 on the season. Especially home dogs.

Works only when there's more than 1 game of course.

Nothing exciting today.

Quarter of the MLB season is done. Can draw some conclusions.

First of all, the most profitable teams (among those that I track) on the money line are:

1. Padres
2. Tigers
3. Guardians
(The least profitable: Orioles )

Look, I only track 10 teams — they're all on the screenshot. That's enough for me, I don't need to track all teams.

Secondly. all these teams are UNDERS teams. The most frequent UNDERs teams:
1, Mets
2. Padres
3. Reds
4. Dbacks
5. Astros

Just for scale: overs are 280 | unders are 299 so far this MLB season: 48.4% overs vs 51.6% unders

Some things to consider when betting MLB 🧠