MLB early games

Found an interesting trend. Home teams are winning 65.4% of the earliest games on the slate. And 10-1 on Fridays.

😀 Cubs ML, anyone?

NBA

Public still likes the over, I still like the under. But. I don't think it'll be easy. Yes, teams usually start slow, but I'd look into a better number live.

Last game, the line was as high as 245 (pre game was 227ish). And today's pre game line is 225.5. My estimation is under 231.5 — will try to grab something around that number live.

Who's winning today?

🏀 — 🔥
🏀 — ❤️

MLB TREND: UNDERDOGS

Favs took over recently, but underdogs are profitable (a tiny bit) on Saturdays so let's see. My top 3:

1️⃣ Padres +150. 15% ROI as away underdogs (48-46 SU). Dbacks are 7-12 SU off 4 wins and 28-38 on Saturdays.
2️⃣ Twins +100. Astros are 12-19 SU off 3 wins, bad on Saturdays and not great as home fav
3️⃣ Rays +120. Mets are 26-38 on Saturdays

Pirates (+190), White Sox (+270), Rockies (+280) — at least one of these three wins today imo.

NHL

Oilers is the mf lock. Unless the line flips and Panthers become the favorite

June playoff favs are 13-3 SU
Saturday playoff favs are 24-12 SU

Hopefully we see another fiery intriguing game like last one. Oilers surely can pull off comebacks.

🛢 - 🔥
🐆 - ❤️

MLB TREND: FAVS

Rays was the only dog from my list that hit yesterday. I expect more favs today so here's my sample of MLB favorites:

1️⃣ Tigers ML — home teams are 9-2 SU in the earlies Sunday games.
2️⃣ Dbacks ML — 38-26 on Sundays + 5-2 off 3 wins
3️⃣ Braves ML — -200 or more juiced favs are profitable in the MLB so far. Just one game like that today. Good parlay piece.

Yesterday was fun. The favs I highlighted reverse swept 🫣

I got one trend for today:

1️⃣ Dodgers ML. They're 32-8 SU on Mondays since 2023.

Would've also added Marlins and Orioles but lines are even so just Dodgers for today.

NBA

Not reinventing anything: fading the public and taking the UNDER again (the series is now 3-1 to the under).

The line is even lower now (225). Teams start off hot but start playing more densely at the end of the game. So I'll be looking for a live bet again, we might see something like 230-236 again.

🏀 — 🔥
🏀 — ❤️

It was always Dodgers

Feels good to make a correct call on a favorite winning these days 😂 It seemed so obvious that Yankees, Mariners would win... Cappers even liked Orioles and Marlins! MLB is a hard nut to crack lol.

Adding favorites chart again today, not because of my personal preferences, purely numbers.

And my personal preferences are:

1️⃣ Tigers ML (29-15 SU off 2 losses)
2️⃣ Reds ML (25-17 (21% ROI) off 2 win, 32-26 Tuesdays (14,5% ROI)
3️⃣ Yankees ML, Dodgers ML — juiced odds, fits a "juiced favorite trend" I'm tracking. Might be a decent parlay.

NHL

Indeed the line flipped last game. Well, teams became even in odds. So favs still are 13-3 in June.

All or nothing game for Oilers. Panthers ML looks too obvious for me (maybe I am overthinking), but I like the UNDER more here. Feels as if no one expects this game to stay under after all games saw the over, I'll see what cappers take today. If they're on the OVER, I'll go with UNDER...

As always, who do you think wins today?

🛢 - 🔥
🐆 - ❤️