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The decline in the Fed’s balance sheet has been historic:

The Fed’s total assets as a % of nominal GDP have fallen to 21.6%, the lowest since Q4 2020.

This also matches the level seen in Q3 2013 during the Fed’s 3rd QE program.

The Fed now has the lowest Asset-to-GDP ratio among major central banks, behind the UK’s ~25%, the Euro Area’s ~40%, and Japan’s ~110%.

Since the 2022 peak, this ratio has fallen -14 points, marking the largest drop on record.

In nominal terms, total assets have declined by -$2.37 trillion during this period, to $6.60 trillion, the lowest since April 2020.

The Fed’s balance sheet is shrinking.

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
A 50-yr-old man cannot meaningfully consent to a relationship with a 22-yr-old woman bc his blind lust makes him functionally retarded so the power imbalance is too extreme

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
πŸ’―6😁2
Racial discrimination at Harvard:

Blacks are granted such a large advantage by Harvard over their White peers that a Black applicant in the 5th decile still has a higher chance of admission than a White applicant in the 10th decile.

If we use Asians in the 10th academic decile as a reference point, we notice that the most qualified Asian individuals have a worse chance of getting into Harvard than Black individuals in the 4th decile from the bottom half of the applicant pool.

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
πŸ’―3
In the United States, more women than men graduate from college in every major racial and ethnic group

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
🀬1
CENSORSHIP: Swiss man jailed for claiming biological sex can be determined by examining skeletal remains. Switzerland and the EU determined the claim belittled the LGBTQ community

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
😐6🌚3
A16z-backed Cheddr is building "the TikTok of sports wagering" - Unlike other platforms, they allow players under 21 and in 46 states!

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😐1
Air traffic control has a major problem in the pipeline.

ATCs are underpaid and overworked.

99% of control towers were understaffed in 2023 and the number of communication mishaps and near-misses between commercial aircraft skyrocketed.

I think the solution might be drones

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
SO MANY lying influencer scumbags lying about their polymarket wins now

Flooding the timeline with their BS

Why?

Affilitate commissions

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ„ΎπŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
😁3πŸ’―2
BREAKING: Mamdani's odds continue to rise, despite Eric Adams endorsing Cuomo.

Is NYC going all-in on socialism?

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
πŸ’―4
US CPI will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.

The market expectations are at 3.1%, while last month's CPI was at 2.9%.

Here are different scenarios:

1⃣ CPI > 3.1%

This will be bearish for markets.

This is because it'll mark the highest CPI print since June 2024.

2⃣ CPI = 3.1%

This will be in line with the expectations but still somewhat bearish.

This is because it'll show a 0.2% MoM CPI increase, which is 2.4% annualized CPI.

And the Fed target inflation is 2%, which means Powell could become a bit hawkish.

3⃣ CPI < 3.1%

A perfect scenario for risk-on assets.

Rate cuts will happen, and also the MoM increase in CPI will be just 0.1% or 1.2% annualized.

This will also boost chances of more rate cuts and will cause liquidity to flow into risk-on assets.

πŸ„³πŸ„ΎπŸ„ΎπŸ„ΌπŸ„ΏπŸ€–πŸ…‚πŸ…ƒπŸ„ΈπŸ„½πŸ„Ά
πŸ’―3
2025/10/28 10:35:32
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