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🚀 The Third Touch Trading Strategy 🚀

The “Third Touch” strategy is based on trend continuation trading. But why exactly is the third touch important?

How It Works:
1️⃣ First Touch – The price hits the level, but it may bounce back.
2️⃣ Second Touch – The price tests the same level again but with less momentum.
3️⃣ Third Touch – The price hits the level once more, often signaling a high probability of a breakout or reversal.

🎯 So when the third touch doesn't break the trendline, it usually signals a loss of trend reversal power. The continuation begins!

How to trade:
🟢 Connect the two lowest points on the chart to create your trendline. Ideally, these points should be the extreme points of the move.
🟢 Once the price corrects down and touches the trendline for the third time, look for a bullish candlestick to form.
🟢 Open a long position at the closing price of the bullish candlestick.
🟢 Set your stop-loss just below the previous support level.

Take-Profit Calculation:
🎯 Take-Profit = Highest level after point A – The lowest level at point A.
🎯 Add this number of pips to your entry-level to calculate the take-profit target.

#education

✅ Save these tips to trade this setup and maximize your profits!

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🥇 BTCUSD Falls

🌡 So, a new crypto update early this morning. Bitcoin only collected the first target, and broke the trend line, after the retest it bounced again. Kijun rose above Tenkan, and the price came out of the cloud.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If #BTCUSD falls further lower, a bearish trend will begin;
🎯 Target 1: 103600;
🎯 Target 2: 102500.

❤️❤️❤️ — if you are trading crypto this week

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❗️❗️❗️

🔫 The Pentagon has placed US troops on heightened alert at bases across the Middle East, including in the UAE, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia. According to The New York Times, the US currently has over 40,000 military personnel stationed in the region. XBRUSD rises to 74.90.

🤝 According to a Bank of America survey, global portfolio managers are becoming less fearful of trade wars as ongoing US talks with the UK and China spark cautious optimism.

🇯🇵 According to the Wall Street Journal, Japan’s exports fell by 1.7% in May — the first decline in eight months — due to rising tariffs. USDJPY has edged down to 144.88.

🇬🇧 UK inflation held steady at 3.4% in May — its highest level in over a year — compared to the same month last year. GBPUSD has climbed to 1.3470.

💲 Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting, pointing to the need for more clarity on the economic effects of recent government policy shifts. The US Dollar has slipped to 98.47.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.06.2025

🔥 Wednesday:

🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 BOC Gov Macklem Speaks - 18:15 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Federal Funds Rate - 21:00 GMT+3
🇺🇸 FOMC Economic Projections - 21:00 GMT+3
🇺🇸 FOMC Statement - 21:00 GMT+3
🇺🇸 FOMC Press Conference - 21:30 GMT+3

Hit ❤️❤️❤️ if you are waiting for a FOMC Statement today, folks!

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🇨🇦USDCAD

📈 The asset broke through the downtrend line, changing its structure to bullish — a signal that should not be ignored. The price is now testing a significant resistance level of 1.3692, which coincides with the MA-100, reinforcing its significance. The AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator also confirms the predominance of buying power!

#TradeIdea

🔼 Buy ONLY after breaking through 1.3692;
🎯 TP1: 1.3733;
🎯 TP2: 1.3795.

💬 Do you agree with the analysis or see a different picture? We look forward to hearing your opinion in the comments!👇

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⚡️ EURUSD ALERT

📉 The price broke a small trend line and is ready to retest it. At the same time, the lips crossed the jaw on the Alligator and the AO indicates the dominance of bearish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

⬇️ We consider selling #EURUSD only on a bounce from resistance;
🎯 Target 1: 1.1450;
🎯 Target 2: 1.1430.

Are you waiting for a small decline too? Then hit ❤️❤️❤️

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🇬🇧 GBPUSD broke below the Order Block (OB) and retested it on the 1.3470 resistance level, forming a Breaker Block (which provides crucial resistance for the price).

🔮 The FVG above the OB forms an additional layer of resistance, suggesting a decline in sell-side liquidity.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell GBPUSD on a rebound from the 1.3470 resistance,
🎯 Target: 1.3420.

Hit ❤️ if you are bearish GBPUSD!

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💥 Shock! Gold could fall below $3,000! 💥

Citi analysts believe that gold could fall below $3,000 per ounce in the near future. The expected range by the end of 2026 is $2,500–$2,700.

📉 Why is this happening?
— Investors are losing interest in gold.
— The global economy is expected to recover.
— The Fed is ready to cut rates.

📌Remember, gold has already risen by +30% this year amid trade risks and , but Citi believes this was the last surge.

💬 Hit 🔥 if you hold gold or follow the market! And write in the comments - will the growth continue, or are you still expecting a decline? 👇

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⚡️ USDJPY!

💴 On the H1, USDJPY is following the rising wedge, currently testing its lower border.

🐻 The price faces the 50-MA as support, while the MACD crosses the 0-line downwards, suggesting bearish momentum.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell #USDJPY on a break below the 144.80;
🎯 Target: 144.40;

👍 - if you are also bearish!

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🔥USDCHF Update

🪙Price has formed a descending channel pattern and is testing the upper trend line and MA50. Despite the downtrend, the AO indicates a bullish bias, and the Tenkan has crossed above the Kijun.

#TradeIdea

🔼 If price breaks the upper trendline above 0.8170 and breaks out of the cloud, the upside will be to 0.8240;
🔽 A bounce off the trendline will drop #USDCHF to 0.8070.

👍 you are bullish, ❤️ you are bearish

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🇺🇸 Federal Funds Rate:

🟢Actual — 4.50%
🟠Expected — 4.50%
🟠Previous — 4.50%

📊 The market is moving — have you taken your position?

📊 Paul Tudor Jones: Macro Vision Meets Technical Precision

🇺🇸 One of the most iconic traders of our time, Paul Tudor Jones, made his mark by combining sharp macro insight with disciplined risk control.

📉 In 1987, by shorting on a crash in the US stock market, Jones’ Tudor fund returned 125.9% after fees, earning him an estimated $100 million.

Jones' Trading strategy:
🔍 Deep macroeconomic analysis by tracking GDP, interest rates, etc.
🔍 Technical analysis. Chart patterns (like head and shoulders) and a 200-day moving average are perfect tools for successful trading.

Jones' Trading Philosophy:
🟢 Trade based on global macro cycles, confirmed by technical signals.
🟢 Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.
🟢 Only take trades with at least a 5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
🟢 Contrarianism - moves against mainstream market beliefs, guided by his analysis and intuition.

Hit ❤️ if Paul Tudor Jones inspires your trading strategy!

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🔤🔤🔤🔤

❗️ Trump has approved a plan to attack Iran, but has not yet given the order to implement it. The US may strike Iran in the coming days. Iran, in turn, is ready to negotiate with Trump to discuss a ceasefire with Israel and Iran's nuclear program.

🛢 At the same time, oil is recovering to recent highs after Iran and Israel declared their determination to continue hostilities. Monitoring services also indicate that the US is mobilizing aircraft carriers closer to Iran. Other countries are rushing to evacuate their citizens from Iran and Israel. XBRUSD is trading at 75.69.

💸 Already, 151 public companies hold BTC on their balance sheets. The number of such companies has grown by 135% year-on-year. However, the price of BTCUSD remains at 104,000.

🇺🇸 According to Fed forecasts, the average rate in 2026 is expected to be 3.6%. At the moment, the rate remains at 4.5%. The US dollar responded with an increase to 99.03.

🇬🇧 The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates at 4.25% on Thursday and signal it is sticking with its one-cut-every-other-meeting approach as officials try to strike a balance between elevated inflation, higher oil prices, and a slowing economy. GBPUSD is trading at 1.3393.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.06.2025

⚠️ Thursday:

🇨🇭 CHF - SNB Monetary Policy Assessment - 10:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇭 CHF - SNB Policy Rate - 10:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇭 CHF - SNB Press Conference - 11:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 GBP - Monetary Policy Summary - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 GBP - MPC Official Bank Rate Votes - 14:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 GBP -Official Bank Rate - 14:00 GMT+3;

Click ❤️ if these updates save you time!

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🥈 XAGUSD Opportunity

📉 Silver may fall — and it's no joke! The price in the ascending channel is testing the lower trendline and fell below MA50. At the same time, there is a divergence on the RSI and there is an Imbalance below, acting as a magnet for the price.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We consider selling #XAGUSD on a trend break below 36.200;
🎯 Target 1: 35.600;
🎯 Target 2: 34.800.

Click ❤️ if you also see an opportunity to short Silver!

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✨ ETHUSD

The price remains within the channel, confidently moving from one boundary to another. ETH is currently testing a critical zone — the lower boundary of the channel at 2390, which coincides with the MA-50. A break below the support level could trigger a further decline.

📉 The AO, MACD, and Parabolic SAR indicators confirm the bearish market sentiment.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If the 2390 level is broken, a decline can be expected;
🎯 Target: 2155

💬 Do you think the channel will hold, or are we in for a spill? Let us know in the comments! 👇

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⚡️ US100 May Fall!

📉 Price has broken the trend line, and is testing the critical support area. A divergence has formed on the RSI, and the -DI has risen above the +DI on the ADX.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We are considering selling #US100 on a fall below the nearest fractal and 21500;
🎯 Target 1: 21100;
🎯 Target 2: 20750.

Hit 👍 if you are also waiting for a small drop!

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👉🇪🇺🇻🇦🛸👈EURUSD Outlook!

🤬 Powell acknowledged tariffs will eventually impact consumer prices but stressed the importance of waiting for concrete data before making policy moves.

🇪🇺 EURUSD breaks below the ascending channel, currently retesting the 1.1450 support and the 100-MA.
The MACD crosses below the 0-line, indicating a downside.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We will sell #EURUSD only on a break below 1.1450;
🎯 Target: 1.1380;

Click ❤️ if you agree with the analysis!

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👉💵🇻🇦👈 FRESH UPDATE!

⚡️ So, Brent is in the thick of things from geopolitical tensions, but the price has reached a global trendline! An MSS has occurred, and there is an OB acting as a magnet at the top. However, price has crossed the upper Bollinger line, and the %R indicates extreme overbought.

#TradeIdea

🔼 A trendline break above 76.40 will open the way to 80.80;
🔽 A bounce off the trendline will bring #XBRUSD back to 70.80.

👍 - if you are waiting for further upside, ❤️ - if you are waiting for downside!

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🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤❗️

🥇 XAUUSD breaks below the trendline, aiming to retest the 3350 support and a 100-MA.
The MACD histogram crosses below the 0-line, suggesting a sharp bearish move to the next support zone.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We consider selling #XAUUSD only if it falls below 3350;
🎯 Target: 3300;

DESTROY 👍👍👍 IF YOU TRADED GOLD THIS WEEK!

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📍 Local TG channels:
🇹🇷TR 🇪🇸ESP 🇮🇩ID 🇵🇹PT 🇵🇸AR

💵 No one wants to hold US dollars? 😢

✅ According to a June survey by Bank of America, international managers now have the smallest long position in USD since 2005. What does this mean?

❗️ It signals declining confidence in the dollar and possible changes in global financial markets. Investors are looking for alternatives and reviewing their portfolios.

🤔 What do you think will happen to the dollar next? Share your opinion in the comments! 👇

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