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US Spot #Bitcoin ETFs continue to see net inflows, with recent activity pushing firmly into positive territory. This reinforces institutional demand as a key pillar of market support, even as price slowly climbs near cycle highs.

https://glassno.de/47Qk41y
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#Bitcoin's CBD heatmap shows the supply clustered around $117k, presenting a key resistance zone. Clearing this level could open the way to thinner supply above, while failure risks prolonging consolidation or a contraction.

πŸ“ˆhttps://glassno.de/4ppLIsx
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The Week On-Chain 37, 2025
Bitcoin is above $115.2K with 95% of supply in profit post-FOMC. Futures saw short squeezes, while options OI hit a record 500K BTC ahead of Sept 26 expiry. Holding $115.2K is key; losing it risks a drop toward $105.5K.


Executive Summary
- Bitcoin gained momentum into the Sept 17 FOMC, with derivatives shifting from risk-off to balanced. Spot showed mild sell pressure, while perpetuals absorbed via short squeezes.
- Perpetual OI peaked at 395K BTC before easing to ~380K as volatility flushed leverage.
- Options OI hit a record 500K BTC ahead of the Sept 26 expiry, with $110K max pain likely to influence spot.
- Volatility repricing lifted the 1M IV–RV spread, while dealer hedging flows support rallies and cushion dips.
- On-chain, BTC trades above $115.2K, cost basis for 95% of supply. Holding is key; losing risks a move toward $105.5K.


Read more in The Week On-Chain newsletter
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Bitcoin Liquidation & Positioning Dashboard Now Live on Glassnode
https://glassno.de/4px5Zwi
Built to track leverage and risk across BTC markets.

Post #FOMC, we can see that #BTC shorts at 117k were taken out, and long liquidations are appearing at 112.7k.

Bitcoin traders are leaning net short, with data indicating a net short position of -485 BTC in aggregate. This skew highlights lingering caution, even as spot price holds above $117k.

The Liquidation Wall view shows ~5k BTC of long exposure vulnerable if support breaks, versus a significant build-up of short positions at higher levels. This creates a two-sided risk profile for price.
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#Bitcoin rallied to $117k into FOMC before slipping below $115k. Spot shows cooling momentum, futures and options signal sell pressure with rising vol, ETF inflows slowed, while on-chain activity improved.

Read more in this week’s Market PulseπŸ‘‡
https://glassno.de/47WorrW
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The short-term holder cost basis is often treated as the key battle line between bulls & bears, and currently sits at $111.4k πŸ”΅.
Sustained trading below this level could signal a shift toward a mid- to long-term bearish market structure.

https://glassno.de/46NvTEt
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#Bitcoin futures open interest fell from $44.8B to $42.8B as price slid to $113k.

The flush in leverage reflects reduced speculative exposure, often a healthy reset that can stabilize derivatives markets and lower the risk of forced liquidations.

πŸ“ˆ https://glassno.de/3K9e6Pw
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This chart measures the cumulative profit realized (in BTC) by long-term holders from the moment a new cycle ATH is set until the final peak.
So far, LTHs have realized 3.4M BTCβ€”a historically large volume compared to prior cycles.

πŸ“ˆ https://glassno.de/4mr1VuD
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#Bitcoin US spot ETF flows have cooled after strong September inflows, with the latest sessions tipping into mild outflows. While overall accumulation remains intact, the slowdown suggests a pause in institutional demand.

πŸ”—https://glassno.de/46R0YHr
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#Bitcoin has slipped below the 0.95 Cost Basis Quantile, a key risk band that often marks profit-taking zones.

Reclaiming it would signal renewed strength, but failure to do so risks a drift toward lower supports around $105k–$90k.

πŸ”—https://glassno.de/3IE26F0
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#Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score has softened, with muted conviction from large cohorts despite elevated prices.

Lighter accumulation signals a more cautious bid, leaving the market vulnerable to supply overhang unless demand re-intensifies.
πŸ”—https://glassno.de/4gGE7S9
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The Week On-Chain 38, 2025
#Bitcoin shows exhaustion post-FOMC as LTHs realized 3.4M BTC in profit and ETF inflows slowed. With spot and futures weak, $111k STH cost basis is key support or risk downside.

Executive Summary
- Bitcoin Correction: Post-FOMC, price action reflects β€œbuy the rumour, sell the news” with fading momentum.
- On-chain: Drawdown mild at 8%, but $678B inflows and 3.4M BTC in LTH profits show major capital rotation.
- ETFs vs LTHs: ETF inflows slowed as LTH distribution accelerated, leaving flows fragile.
- Spot & Futures: Spot volumes spiked, futures deleveraged, and liquidation clusters highlight liquidity risk.
- Options: Skew surged and puts bid, showing defensive positioning as macro signals exhaustion.

Read more in The Week On-Chain newsletter
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2025/10/24 07:35:20
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