🌎#nickel #metals
the global nickel market could swing to a surprise deficit this year if growth in Indonesian output is constrained by slow mining permit approvals — Macquarie

earlier, there was talk of a significant surplus in the market.

Norilsk Nickel expects nickel prices to bottom out in the medium term.

❗️#SBSW

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #history #warning
short-term market movements cannot be predicted using the Shiller ratio. However, historical data since 1871 suggests that when the ratio exceeds 34, the real return of the S&P 500 over the following 10 years tends to be zero.

🇺🇸#stocks #us #history
BofA: overbought conditions in the US stock market are normal and can last for a long time

🌕#gold #stocks
mining stocks are significantly trailing gold prices = this is a very rare occurrence, happening only a few times in the last 40 years.
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If 2024 turns out to be the year of gold, investing in gold mining stocks may yield substantial profits (chart)

🇨🇳#china #stocks
over the last 30 years, investments in the Chinese stock market have yielded no returns
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the bottom of the Chinese market is already near (chart) , historically followed by significant growth (chart).

🛢🇺🇸#oil #us #macro
BI: a wave of mergers and acquisitions in the US oil industry means the US oil production boom may be over

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #sentiment #warning
historically, such Barron's covers have appeared shortly before the start of corrections in US stocks.

⚠️🇺🇸#monetarypolicy #us #warning
BBG: Fed officials to signal interest rate cuts are getting closer
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earlier: historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.

RIA: The majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot.

ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline.

BofA has echoed the same sentiment

✴️#BTC #crypto #history
here's how much bitcoin has grown since its inception

⚠️🇺🇸#inflation #monetarypolicy #us
US inflation is not showing signs of decreasing.
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the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)

⚠️🇺🇸#us #inflation #history
US - inflationary waves of the 1930s-1940s and the 1970s.

🇺🇸#bubble #stocks #us #history
BofA: historically, the volatility of stocks in a particular sector increases significantly before a bubble bursts. However, this is not currently the case for the Magnificent Seven

🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #concentration
Goldman: the current dominance of the technology sector in the US stock market is not unprecedented compared to the level of dominance of certain sectors in the past.

🌎#bubble #sentiment #stocks
mentions of a "stock bubble" are at a 2-year high, but still relatively low.

billionaire investor Ray Dalio said the stock market doesn't resemble a "full-on" bubble right now.

volatility remains low for now (chart)

🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble
Nobel laureate Robert Shiller's Excess CAPE Yield indicator suggests that there is still room for growth in the US stock market.

however, investors should not expect high long-term returns (chart)

🌏#stock #gaming #world
stocks of gaming companies are at historically low levels based on the EV/EBITDA multiple.

Houlihan Lokey: we see a unique opportunity with microcaps, which many believe have been oversold — research

💥#PRX #NPSN

⚠️🌎#default #macro
global corporate defaults at highest rate since global financial crisis — S&P