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⚠️🇺🇸#population #us #macro
US fertility rate = historical low
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🇨🇳#economy #impulse #china #macro
China's credit impulse continues to slow down

⚠️#QFIN #LX
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🛢🌕#oil #gold #macro
Crescat: even by historical standards, oil is very cheap when priced in gold
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🇺🇸#USD #fx #economy #us
If the dollar ceases to be the primary global reserve currency, the standard of living in the US will drop by 57%.
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Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
🇺🇸#bonds #us #seasonality
US 30-Year Treasury seasonality.

рistorically, long-term U.S. government bonds tend to increase in the second and third quarters.
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Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
❗️🇨🇳#stocks #china #history #short
Sentimentrader: recently, a rare event was observed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, only having occurred five times since the turn of the century: the ratio of rising to falling stocks exceeded 3:1 over a span of 10 trading days. Historically, this marker has indicated the end of a bear market.

the level of short positions in Chinese stocks is approaching historical highs (around 50%), which could signal a reduction in bearish sentiment.
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✴️🌕#BTC #gold #mining #costprice
JP Morgan: Bitcoin < Bitcoin mining cost = Bullish signal

#opinion Bitcoin is often regarded as the new gold. If this assertion holds true, its price-to-mining-cost ratio should be similar to that of gold, which is approximately 1.5
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⚠️🇺🇸#inflation #us
US consumer inflation expectations are rising rapidly.
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the Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
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🛢🌕#oil #forecast #gold #correlation
McClellan: gold and oil have historically shown a strong positive correlation, with oil lagging gold by 19.8 months. Current conditions suggest an imminent bottom in the oil market.
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💥🇺🇸#stocks #us
BofA: the A-D line in the S&P 500 has just reached a new high, historically indicating market strength and a continuation of the rally in stocks, although corrections may occur along the way.
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🌎#economy #worldtrade #history
history of globalization
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🪨🇿🇦🇰🇷#coal
due to the risk of US sanctions, South Korea will replace its coal supplies from Russia with equally inexpensive coal from Colombia and South Africa — experts

💥#TGA
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🇺🇸🛢#gas #lng #us #forecast
over the next 10 years, US will significantly increase its LNG export capacity.
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#opinion in the long term, demand and prices for natural gas in the US are expected to rise due to increased LNG exports to Europe and Asia.

More and more experts are predicting a rise in U.S. gas prices.

US natural gas prices are at historical lows.

💥#SJT
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🇺🇸#banks #creditcards #us #lending #macro
delinquencies on U.S. credit card accounts continue to rise

⚠️#BFH
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🌎#copper #macro
Goldman Sachs expects a significant copper shortage in 2024.

Citi announced the start of the second major bull market in copper this century.

Trafigura CEO: in order to fill a potential supply gap of 8 million tons by 2034, mining companies need prices that are higher than $10,000 a ton and possibly as high as $12,000
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🪙#silver #macro
Crescat: gold was first, now silver looks poised to make historic highs. Triple tops rarely hold resistance.
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🌎#logistic #container #world #macro
global сontainer rates are rising again.

historically, Shanghai's rates have been a leading indicator (chart).

💥#DAC
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2025/10/24 11:07:26
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