⚠️#stocks #us #cash
Goldman: US households' stock allocation = historic high, while debt levels = historic low.
#bubble the last time this occurred was in 1999, when the market rose for several more months before peaking in March 2000, just ahead of the dot-com bubble burst.
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Stifel: US stock market bubble continues to inflate. It will burst in 2025 (chart)
Goldman: US households' stock allocation = historic high, while debt levels = historic low.
#bubble the last time this occurred was in 1999, when the market rose for several more months before peaking in March 2000, just ahead of the dot-com bubble burst.
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Stifel: US stock market bubble continues to inflate. It will burst in 2025 (chart)
⚠️#inflation #us #macro
TS Lombard does not rule out the possibility of a second wave of inflation in the US, similar to that of the 1940s and 1970s
#monetarypolicy the Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s
TS Lombard does not rule out the possibility of a second wave of inflation in the US, similar to that of the 1940s and 1970s
#monetarypolicy the Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s
🌏#commodity #stocks #world
UBS: historically, commodities show similar risk/return properties as equities, but with sustained periods of strong out- and underperformance
UBS: historically, commodities show similar risk/return properties as equities, but with sustained periods of strong out- and underperformance
🇺🇸#stocks #election #us #seasonality ##smallcap
Goldman: seasonality in U.S. small-cap stocks during election years.
historically, in election years, the U.S. small-cap stock index Russell 2000 has delivered strong performance towards the end of the year.
Goldman: seasonality in U.S. small-cap stocks during election years.
historically, in election years, the U.S. small-cap stock index Russell 2000 has delivered strong performance towards the end of the year.
The Economist Intelligence: strong European demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) will push up US natural gas prices.
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How to bet on rising US gas prices — read more
💥#SJT
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RBC Capital expects US natural gas prices to rise to $5 and beyond, driven by increasing LNG exports, higher electricity demand, and a lack of growth in gas production — report
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strong European demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) will push up US natural gas prices (chart)
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🌎#liquidity #markets #cycles #macro
Crossborder Capital believes that the cycle of liquidity growth will continue to rise in the global system, which will undoubtedly have a positive impact on risk assets.
Crossborder Capital believes that the cycle of liquidity growth will continue to rise in the global system, which will undoubtedly have a positive impact on risk assets.
🛢#oil
BBG: hedge funds and asset managers have cut their bullish bets on WTI oil to a 14-year low.
BBG: hedge funds and asset managers have cut their bullish bets on WTI oil to a 14-year low.
US gas production is falling for the first time since 2000, as a sharp drop in prices makes extraction less profitable. This shift is prompting producers to reduce the number of active drilling rigs or halt production altogether — US Department of Energy.
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US gas prices could rise due to reduced production (chart)
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🌎#logistic #container #world
сontainer shipping costs continue to decline.
historically, the Shanghai rates have served as a leading indicator.
⚠️#DAC
сontainer shipping costs continue to decline.
historically, the Shanghai rates have served as a leading indicator.
⚠️#DAC
🇺🇸#realestate #office #us
Goldman: the cost of office real estate in US central business districts (CBDs) has plummeted to levels last seen during the 2008 mortgage crisis. Meanwhile, office real estate prices in suburban areas appear to have stabilised and are likely to have bottomed out.
WSJ: investors are showing renewed interest in office properties
❗️#ONL #EQC
Goldman: the cost of office real estate in US central business districts (CBDs) has plummeted to levels last seen during the 2008 mortgage crisis. Meanwhile, office real estate prices in suburban areas appear to have stabilised and are likely to have bottomed out.
WSJ: investors are showing renewed interest in office properties
❗️#ONL #EQC