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⛽️🇺🇸#gas #us #forecast
RBC Capital expects US natural gas prices to rise to $5 and beyond, driven by increasing LNG exports, higher electricity demand, and a lack of growth in gas production — report
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strong European demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) will push up US natural gas prices (chart)
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🌎#liquidity #world #stcoks #macro
global M2 money supply continues to expand = bullish for SP500 and Bitcoin
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correlation between SP500 and global M2 money supply (chart)

correlation between Bitcoin and global M2 money supply (chart)
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🌎#liquidity #markets #cycles #macro
Crossborder Capital believes that the cycle of liquidity growth will continue to rise in the global system, which will undoubtedly have a positive impact on risk assets.
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⚠️🇺🇸#USD #fx #elections
HSBC: uncertainty over the outcome of the US presidential election would be negative for the USD.

#history the last US election with an uncertain outcome was in 2000 between Gore and George W. Bush, and the dollar fell significantly then.
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🛢#oil
BBG: hedge funds and asset managers have cut their bullish bets on WTI oil to a 14-year low.
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⛽️🇺🇸#gas #us
US gas production is falling for the first time since 2000, as a sharp drop in prices makes extraction less profitable. This shift is prompting producers to reduce the number of active drilling rigs or halt production altogether — US Department of Energy.
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US gas prices could rise due to reduced production (chart)
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🌎#logistic #container #world
сontainer shipping costs continue to decline.

historically, the Shanghai rates have served as a leading indicator.

⚠️#DAC
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🇺🇸#stocks #us #seasonality #elections
Goldman: US stock market is entering its strongest seasonal period of the year.

Goldman: ‘FOMO’ could help drive stocks higher after US election

@scorpi18
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🇺🇸#realestate #office #us
Goldman: the cost of office real estate in US central business districts (CBDs) has plummeted to levels last seen during the 2008 mortgage crisis. Meanwhile, office real estate prices in suburban areas appear to have stabilised and are likely to have bottomed out.

WSJ: investors are showing renewed interest in office properties

❗️#ONL #EQC
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #macro
S&P 500 statistically expensive on 19 of 20 metrics — BofA
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble
Top Down: euphoria in the US stock market is at an all-time high
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #concentration #bubble #warning #macro #history
Goldman: the concentration of the largest stocks in the S&P 500 has reached levels comparable to US stock market bubble of the Great Depression in the United States.
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✴️#BTC #mining #costprice
the average cost of mining bitcoin among the largest publicly traded mining companies has fallen to $49,500 — CoinShares
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#opinion Bitcoin is often regarded as the new gold. If this assertion holds true, its price-to-mining-cost ratio should be similar to that of gold, which is approximately 1.5 (chart)
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🇺🇸#stocks #tech #us #seasonality
seasonality in US tech stocks
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🇺🇸#stocks #us #elections
TS Lombard: historically, the S&P 500 has performed better in the 12 months following a US presidential election under Democratic presidents than under Republican presidents.
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over the past 70 years, $1000 invested in the US stock market during Republican presidencies would yield $27,400 today, while it would yield $61,800 during Democratic presidencies. However, those who stayed invested regardless of political affiliation would see $1,680,000 today (chart)
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Channel photo updated
💥🇺🇸#buyback #stocks #us
US corporate buybacks have reached record levels this year.
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Since 2011, buyback programmes have been the main catalyst for S&P 500 growth (chart)
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⚠️🇺🇸#inflation #us #history #monetarypolicy #warning #analogy
Nordea: dynamics of US consumer inflation: Today vs. the 1970s.

Many experts now expect Trump's policies, including tax cuts, to be more inflationary, potentially complicating the Federal Reserve's efforts to lower interest rates.
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Fed's greatest fear is a resurgence of inflation, reminiscent of the 1970s (chart)
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #warning
A significant negative divergence is currently observed between the Heavy Truck Index and the S&P 500. In the past, divergences of this magnitude have preceded sharp declines in the S&P 500.
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2025/10/20 02:16:01
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