Polymarket users predict a 97.5% chance that the Fed will not cut rates this week.

Truly incredible:

Oil prices have completely erased ALL overnight gains and turned red.

Some of Iran’s largest oil and gas facilities are shut down or destroyed — and yet, oil prices are falling.

Trump is highly skeptical about involving the U.S. in the Israel-Iran conflict, CNN reports.

According to the network, Washington’s intervention could lead to “a grueling, endless war with no clear endgame.”

A senior security official:

Iran is preparing for a very big blow after the first act of aggression by the Zionist regime — Iranian media.

Breaking: Iran asks Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Oman to ask President Trump to press Israel to agree to an immediate ceasefire, per Reuters.

In return, Iran will offer flexibility in nuclear negotiations with the US, per Reuters.

Crude just dropped over 4% today.

Now down 15% from last week’s high.

Reports say Iran wants to de-escalate with the US and Israel.

The markets detect peace, and they’re pricing it in.

breakout traders & stops being hit:

its not one or the other occurring its always both, just how much from either side.

however, more breakout traders caught offside will lead to a quicker reversal.

identify when they are caught offside and look for acceleration.

example ↑