#US30 UPDATE :

#US30 gave a tap into the 43,000 area and rejected precisely with a wick. Currently, its dropping and might continue lower till 41,150 and eventually 40,800 as support. You can consider taking shorts on a retest.

Another 10,100 #Bitcoin bought by Strategy

As Bitcoin retreats from $111.8k, selling pressure comes mainly from intra-cycle seasoned holders realizing substantial gains. The 7-day SMA of daily profit realization (excluding intra-entity flows) peaked at $1.47B per day last week, highlighting intense capital rotation.

This marks the fifth wave this cycle where daily profit-taking exceeded $1B—events that often coincide with local tops or slowdowns if incoming demand can't absorb the selling scale. This tests the market's resilience against elevated selling pressure.

Here's the Analysis of #FORTH :

#FORTH is been on a very major support zone of $$2.17 - $2.44 and forming a triangle pattern over it. This seems be a good area of interest for buys and sells, but need to wait for the price to breakout either side, to take the calls. Use H4 close or Daily close as strong confirmation.

#BTC gave a flip of the resistance in H4 TF but in Daily TF its a rejection. Overall, in HTF price moving sideways alot and forming small pattern which ended up being invalidated. War tensions also going on, so need to wait for the further price action to develop.

#GOLD UPDATE :

#GOLD moved and printed a new higher high, before tapping the support. Now, the support zone at $3380 standing strong and might push further higher high.

To understand current profit realization significance, examining it cyclically reveals how market maturity shapes investor behavior. The 90-day SMA of net realized profit, normalized by market cap, shows profit-taking has grown less euphoric over time as Bitcoin matures.

Historical comparison shows declining intensity:
- 2015-2018: ~25 months, peaking above 0.4% of market cap
- 2020-2022: ~20 months, peaking around 0.15%
- Current cycle (Nov 2023): 18 months with two peaks near 0.1%

This trend suggests profit-taking remains significant but more tempered, possibly indicating a shift from boom-bust euphoria to structured capital rotation in a maturing asset class.

Here's the Analysis of #EDU :

#EDU kept on dropping lower low and might reach the listing price. Recently, price broke the bear flag pattern, which is a bearish continuation pattern and might continue drop lower. Longs are not favorable here, shorts can be taken into account.

#BTC closed another daily candle with a rejection wick and gave a bearish engulfing too. In H4 TF, its just consolidating back and forth off the zone. Nothing much clear as of now, price just respected the trendline and we need to wait for the further price action to develop.

#BTC.D UPDATE :

#BTC.D give some new higher high internally, making the altcoin suffer in pain. Index might trying to reach out the old high 65.40% and a fall can come. #BTC also not so clear due to war tensions.

Since 2015-2018, long-term holders (LTHs) have increasingly dominated profit-taking during market tops, highlighting structural market maturity where seasoned investors lead capital rotation over fast-moving speculators.
At the recent peak, LTHs realized ~$1B per day (30-day MA) versus STHs at $0.32B per day—a 3X difference confirming this profit-taking wave is led by older, higher-conviction investors rather than short-term traders.

Here's the Analysis of #ETHFI :

#ETHFI is been moving within the channel pattern and reached the support zone of $0.83 - $0.91. Short-term bounce can be expected from here but looking at the market sentiment, altcoins can see dip, so take it accordingly.

#BTC broke the trendline support and still below the resistance now. Yesterday, we didn't have rate cuts and so nothing much happened. Now as per the technical, its in a range so waiting for a breakout is necessary and fundamental can drive the market, or war situation might lead to something.

#MTL is been dropped continues and its bit slower move now. Price moved around 11% in profits, and approaching towards the major support area of $0.60 - $0.63 will be the TP area and potential reversal setups.

While current LTH profit realization at ~$1B/day seems modest versus December 2024's $1.8B peak, a deeper breakdown reveals familiar patterns. The 6-12 month holder cohort typically contributes less to profit-taking as cycles mature, which is happening now. As the rally extends, older LTH segments increasingly dominate selling, suggesting we're entering the top formation phase of this cycle.

Here's the Analysis of #MAGIC :

#MAGIC is been going through the retracement phrase after the strong up move. Now its retracing the and nearly to the support zone of $0.123 - $0.133. Price is moving on a small channel pattern and a breakout will lead in strong buys indication, and you can take buys in retest.