🔥 Juicy Player Prop Trend: Sandy Alcantara OVER 2.5 earned runs allowed (+105)—he’s yielded 3+ ER in each of his last 7 starts!
📊 Public’s Top Bet: 82% of real-money wagers are on the Red Sox moneyline vs. Orioles today!
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📊 Public’s Top Bet: 82% of real-money wagers are on the Red Sox moneyline vs. Orioles today!
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⚾️ Arizona Diamondbacks to Win in Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
📝 Pick Preview: Merrill Kelly has surrendered just nine earned runs over his last seven starts (1.88 ERA) with a microscopic 0.79 WHIP and a .237 BABIP, signaling elite command and batted-ball luck in his favor . Arizona’s offense is clicking at 5.08 runs per game—fifth-best in MLB—and brings a .333 on-base percentage and .447 slugging at home, plenty of firepower to back Kelly’s dominant form . Matthew Liberatore counters with a solid 2.92 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, but his 47 strikeouts tie him for just 60th among starters, leaving too many balls in play against this lineup.
💶 Stake 1
📝 Pick Preview: Merrill Kelly has surrendered just nine earned runs over his last seven starts (1.88 ERA) with a microscopic 0.79 WHIP and a .237 BABIP, signaling elite command and batted-ball luck in his favor . Arizona’s offense is clicking at 5.08 runs per game—fifth-best in MLB—and brings a .333 on-base percentage and .447 slugging at home, plenty of firepower to back Kelly’s dominant form . Matthew Liberatore counters with a solid 2.92 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, but his 47 strikeouts tie him for just 60th among starters, leaving too many balls in play against this lineup.
💶 Stake 1
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⚾️ Cubs Team Hits Over 8.5 in Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
📝 Pick Preview:
Palmquist has been getting roughed up all season—he’s coughing up a ridiculous 17.3 hits per nine frames and rocking an 11.88 ERA so far. He’s free-based hitters at a 5.4 BB/9 clip, which only gives Chicago more chances to tee off on anything left over the plate. On the flip side, the Cubs lead all of baseball with 9.28 hits per game this year, so they’re absolutely piling up knocks night after night. Wrigley’s been extra friendly, too—guys like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner have been jumping on mistakes early and sparking rallies in front of the ivy. Even if the wind’s not blowing out, Palmquist’s funky sidearm slot tends to serve up meatballs that turn into liners finding holes in that outfield grass.
💶 Stake 1
📝 Pick Preview:
Palmquist has been getting roughed up all season—he’s coughing up a ridiculous 17.3 hits per nine frames and rocking an 11.88 ERA so far. He’s free-based hitters at a 5.4 BB/9 clip, which only gives Chicago more chances to tee off on anything left over the plate. On the flip side, the Cubs lead all of baseball with 9.28 hits per game this year, so they’re absolutely piling up knocks night after night. Wrigley’s been extra friendly, too—guys like Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner have been jumping on mistakes early and sparking rallies in front of the ivy. Even if the wind’s not blowing out, Palmquist’s funky sidearm slot tends to serve up meatballs that turn into liners finding holes in that outfield grass.
💶 Stake 1
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⚾️ Under 8.5 Runs in St. Louis Cardinals vs. Baltimore Orioles
📝 Pick Preview:
Tuesday’s 7-4 shoot-out inflated tonight’s total, but the pitching matchup screams regression to the mean. Miles Mikolas hasn’t walked more than two batters in any of his last six starts, and his 3.49 ERA hides an even nicer 3.28 xERA. Rookie lefty Cade Povich (29 % K-rate in Triple-A) keeps the ball off barrels and faces a Cards lineup that ranks 25th in wRC+ versus southpaws. Camden Yards’ new deep-left dimensions have turned it into a sneaky under park (-17 % HR factor since 2022). Both pens are rested after each used only one leverage arm last night, and five of the last seven meetings have finished at seven runs or fewer.
💶 Stake 1
📝 Pick Preview:
Tuesday’s 7-4 shoot-out inflated tonight’s total, but the pitching matchup screams regression to the mean. Miles Mikolas hasn’t walked more than two batters in any of his last six starts, and his 3.49 ERA hides an even nicer 3.28 xERA. Rookie lefty Cade Povich (29 % K-rate in Triple-A) keeps the ball off barrels and faces a Cards lineup that ranks 25th in wRC+ versus southpaws. Camden Yards’ new deep-left dimensions have turned it into a sneaky under park (-17 % HR factor since 2022). Both pens are rested after each used only one leverage arm last night, and five of the last seven meetings have finished at seven runs or fewer.
💶 Stake 1
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