⚾️ Mariners to Win in Red Sox vs. Mariners

📝 Pick Preview:
Seattle’s biggest edge tonight is on the bump, where Bryan Woo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five home starts. Walker Buehler has been solid, but his 3.92 road ERA is a full half-run higher than his home mark, and he hasn’t gone past the sixth inning in three straight away outings. The Mariners’ lineup has been opportunistic at T-Mobile Park, turning in a .320 on-base clip with RISP and 12 go-ahead runs over the past week. Their bullpen also boasts a top-five home WPA, so once they get the lead, they lock it down. Even at this odd, this feels like the smarter play in a game Seattle is set to control from first pitch.

💶 Stake 1

⚾️ Under 8.5 Runs in Astros vs. Angels

📝 Pick Preview:
Hunter Brown brings his Cy Young–caliber stuff out to Anaheim (1.88 ERA, 10.9 K/9) to face Yusei Kikuchi (2–6, 3.05 ERA), and both bullpens rank among the best in baseball. Angel Stadium has played like a pitcher’s park this year, with the marine layer and spacious outfield gobbling up fly balls—perfect for Brown’s ground-ball heavy repertoire. The Angels collectively strike out nearly 10 times per game, and with Kikuchi’s walk rate hovering high, you’re likely to see stranded runners at both ends. Houston has gone UNDER in six of its last eight road games, and Los Angeles’ offense has been inconsistent despite flashes from their bats. Brown has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, showcasing his dominance away from Minute Maid Park. Meanwhile, the Angels are just 2–6 in their last eight after yielding four-plus runs, so I’m expecting both staffs to lock in.

💶 Stake 1