Italy, Ipsos poll:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 55%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 41%
Bundu (*-LEFT|S&D): 4%


Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Local election

KE (RE|ECR): 23% (+1)
I (EPP): 21% (-1)
Local Coalitions (*): 20%
EKRE (PfE): 13%
RE (RE): 10% (+1)
SDE (S&D): 8%
PP (→EPP): 3%
E200 (→EPP): 1%
KOOS (*): 1%
ERK (*): 0% (-1)
EER (Greens/EFA): 0%

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Italy, Ipsos poll:

Tuscany regional parliament election

CSX (S&D|LEFT|RE|G/EFA): 55% (+1)
CDX (ECR|EPP|PfE): 42% (+1)
TR (LEFT|S&D): 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 2020 election result

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn city council election

KE (RE|ECR): 42%
I (EPP): 15% (-1)
SDE (S&D): 14% (-1)
RE (RE): 11% (+1)
EKRE (PfE): 7%
PP (→EPP): 4%
Local Coalitions (*): 3%
E200 (→EPP): 2%
KOOS (*): 1%
EER (Greens/EFA): 1%
ERK (*): 1%

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Norway, InFact poll:

Ap-S&D: 29% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 25% (+1)
H-EPP: 14% (-1)
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 5% (+1)
V-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: 06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,094

➤ europeelects.eu/norway

Estonia, Norstat MRP poll:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 38
I-EPP: 13 (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12 (-1)
RE-RE: 10 (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 6
E200→EPP: 0

+/- vs. 15-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 06 October 2025
Sample size: 7,500

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
KE-RE|ECR: 21% (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 19% (+2)
RE-RE: 13% (-2)
SDE-S&D: 10% (-2)
PP→EPP: 5% (-1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 22-28 September 2025

Fieldwork: 28 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Italy, Tecnè poll:

Tuscany regional presidential election

Giani (PD-S&D): 56%
Tomasi (FdI-ECR): 42%
Bundu (TR-LEFT|S&D): 2%

Fieldwork: 23-25 September 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 25% (+3)
Smer-NI: 18% (-2)
Republika-ESN: 12% (+2)
Hlas-NI: 8% (-2)
S-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
KDH-EPP: 5% (-1)
D-EPP: 5% (-1)
MA-EPP: 4%
SR~PfE: 3%
SNS~PfE: 2%
ZĽ~EPP: 1% (-1)
KÚ-ECR: 1% (+1)
ĽSNS-NI: 1%
NK-*: 0%

+/- vs. 03-07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia

Estonia, SALK projection:

Tallinn seat projection

KE-RE|ECR: 35 (-3)
I-EPP: 13 (+8)
SDE-S&D: 12 (+6)
RE-RE: 9 (-6)
EKRE-PfE: 5 (-3)
PP→EPP: 5 (new)
E200→EPP: 0 (-7)

+/- vs. 2021 election result

Fieldwork: October 2025
Sample size: 1,850

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

Spain, NC Report poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 16% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 1%
UPN-*: 0%

+/- vs. 01-06 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-04 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

REFORM~NI: 33% (+3)
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 19% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 14%
GREENS-G/EFA: 8%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,003

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:

PVV-PfE: 20%
CDA-EPP: 16%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 14% (-1)
D66-RE: 9% (-1)
VVD-RE: 9%
JA21~ECR: 8% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (+1)
DENK-*: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 3%
FvD-ESN: 3%
BBB-EPP: 3% (-1)
SP-LEFT: 3%
SGP-ECR: 3%
CU-EPP: 2%
50PLUS-RE: 1%
NSC-EPP: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 03-06 October 2025
Sample size: 2,079

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Hungary, Republikon Intézet poll:

TISZA-EPP: 43% (+2)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 35%
MH-ESN: 8%
DK-S&D: 5% (-2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 5%
Momentum-RE: 1%
P-G/EFA: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 21-27 August 2025

Fieldwork: 25 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Hungary, Magyar Társadalomkutató poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 47% (-2)
TISZA-EPP: 39% (-2)
MH-ESN: 6% (+3)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (n.a.)
DK-S&D: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 30 June - 02 July 2025

Fieldwork: 29 September - 01 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

TS LKD-EPP: 22% (+2)
LSDP-S&D: 16%
NA~S&D: 13% (+8)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (-3)
LVŽS-ECR: 10% (+1)
LS-RE: 10% (-1)
LP-RE: 5% (-1)
NS→ECR: 3% (n.a.)
LLRA KŠS-ECR: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 18-25 July 2025

Fieldwork: 17-27 September 2025
Sample size: 1,017

➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania

UK: the UK's three Green parties (GREENS-G/EFA) have reached 15% in today's Find Out Now poll. This is the highest that the parties have ever polled in national parliament polling since being founded in 1983 and 1990.

If repeated in an election, it would surpass the previous record high of 7% recorded in 2024.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 31%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 14%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 24-29 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-06 October 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Poland, Opinia24 poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 33% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 30% (-1)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 16%
Lewica-S&D: 6%
KKP-NI: 5.5% (-1.5)
Razem-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PL2050-RE: 3%
PSL-EPP: 1.5%

+/- vs. 01-03 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

Serbia, NSPM poll:

Scenario: joint government vs. potential joint opposition lists

Joint opposition list-G/EFA|S&D|RE: 56%
SNS/SPS+-EPP: 44%

+/- vs. 02-12 July 2025

Fieldwork: 28 August - 08 September 2025
Sample size: 1050

➤ europeelects.eu/serbia