France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+3)
PCF/LÉ/PS/PP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 19%
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-1)
LR-EPP: 11% (-1)
LFI-LEFT: 8% (-1)
REC-ESN: 3.5% (-0.5)
Divers gauche-*: 3%
Divers droite-*: 2.5% (+0.5)
Divers-*: 2% (+1)
DLF→ECR: 1% (-1)
Far-left c.-*: 1%

+/- vs. 5-8 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 36% (+4)
PCF/PS/PP-LEFT|S&D: 17% (+2)
Ensemble-RE: 13% (-2)
LR-EPP: 11% (-2)
LFI/LÉ-LEFT|G/EFA: 10% (-1)
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 3% (-1)
Divers droite-*: 2% (-1)
Divers-*: 2% (+1)
DLF→ECR: 1% (-1)
Far-left c.-*: 1%

+/- vs. 29 August-01 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

France, Ifop poll:

RN and allies-PfE: 35% (+1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 24%
Ensemble-RE: 14%
LR-EPP: 12%
REC-ESN: 4%
Divers gauche-*: 4% (-1)
Divers droite-*: 3%
Divers-*: 2%
DLF→ECR: 1% (-1)
Far-left c.-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 05-08 September 2025

Fieldwork: 07-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,386

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Poland, IBRiS poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 32.5% (+2)
PiS-ECR: 29% (-1.5)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15% (-0.5)
Lewica-S&D: 7.5% (-1)
KKP-NI: 6.5% (+3)
PSL-EPP: 5% (+0.5)
Razem-LEFT: 3% (-1.5)
PL2050-RE: 1.5% (-1)

+/- vs. 29-30 August 2025

Fieldwork: 08-09 October 2025
Sample size: 1,100

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

Italy: liberal Partito Liberal Democratico (RE) appears in a poll for the first time, with 1.1% in the latest EMG poll.

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

France: President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) has re-appointed Sébastien Lecornu (RE-RE) as Prime Minister four days after accepting his resignation.

Lecornu will now form a new government strengthened by these two days of "last negotiations".

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection national parliament

PVV-PfE: 31 (+1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25 (-2)
CDA-EPP: 22 (-1)
VVD-RE: 15 (+2)
D66-RE: 14 (+2)
JA21~ECR: 13
SP-LEFT: 5 (-1)
FvD-ESN: 5
BBB-EPP: 4
DENK-*: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 3
SGP-ECR: 3
CU-EPP: 3
Volt-G/EFA: 3
50PLUS-RE: 1
NSC-EPP: 0

+/- vs. 3 October 2025

Fieldwork: 10 October 2025

➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands

Austria, Market poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 38% (+2)
ÖVP-EPP: 20%
SPÖ-S&D: 17% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10%
NEOS-RE: 8% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 29-30 September 2025

Fieldwork: 06-07 October 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

UK, Opinium poll:

REFORM~NI: 32% (-2)
LAB-S&D: 22% (+1)
CON~ECR: 18% (+2)
LDEM-RE: 11% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 10%
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 1-3 October 2025

Fieldwork: 08-10 October 2025
Sample size: 2,050

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Italy, Tuscany regional election (parliament + president) today and tomorrow:

➤ Eligible voters: 3,007,033
➤ Polling stations open (CEST): 07:00 - 23:00 (12 October), 07:00 - 15:00 (13 October)
➤ Incumbent government: left-wing coalition (S&D|RE) led by president Eugenio Giani (PD-S&D)

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

Portugal, local elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: 9,285,175
➤ Polling stations open: 9 AM - 8 PM CEST in the mainland and Madeira, 10 AM - 9 PM CEST in the Azores (8 AM to 7 PM local)
➤ Executive and deliberative organs of 308 municipalities and 3,259 freguesias

➤http://europeelects.eu/portugal

#portugal #autárquicas2025

Germany, Ipsos poll:

AfD-ESN: 25%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 23% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
LINKE-LEFT: 12%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (-1)
BSW-NI: 5% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 05-07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 02-03 October 2025
Sample size: 1000

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, Verian poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 25% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 25%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 03-09 September 2025

Fieldwork: 30 September - 07 October 2025
Sample size: 1478

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 26%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 24%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 11%
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%

+/- vs. 02-06 October 2025

Fieldwork: 06-10 October 2025
Sample size: 1224

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Sweden, Verian poll:

S-S&D: 35% (+1)
SD-ECR: 20% (-1)
M-EPP: 18%
V-LEFT: 7.5% (+0.5)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 4.5% (-0.5)
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 2.5%

+/- vs. 25 August - 07 September 2025

Fieldwork: 22 September - 05 October 2025
Sample size: 3,227

➤ europeelects.eu/sweden

Italy, Tuscany regional election today and tomorrow:

Turnout at 12:00 AM CEST

2005: 12.20%*
2010: 9.20%*
2015: 14.65%
2020: 14.66%*
2025: 9.95%*

*Election held in two days

Source: Ministero dell'Interno


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025

France (Voters abroad 5th constituency), national parliament by-election, second round today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~115,500
➤ Candidates: Nathalie Coggia (RE-RE) and Martha Peciña (LFI/LÉ-LEFT|Greens/EFA)
➤ Electoral system: 2-round, single-member constituencies
➤ Incumbent party: RE (RE) since 2017 (dissident since 2022)

➤ http://europeelects.eu/france

France (Tarn-et-Garonne's 1st constituency), national parliament by-election, second round today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~94,000
➤ Candidates: Pierre-Henri Carbonnel (UDR/RN-PfE) and Cathie Bourdoncle (PS-and-allies-LEFT|Greens/EFA|S&D)
➤ Electoral system: 2-round, single-member constituencies
➤ Incumbent party: UDR/RN (PfE) since 2024

➤ http://europeelects.eu/france

Spain, GESOP poll:

PP-EPP: 29% (-2)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 18% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
Junts-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 10-12 June 2025

Fieldwork: 03-09 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Italy, Tuscany regional elections today and tomorrow:

Turnout at 7:00 PM CEST

2010: 33.40%*
2015: 35.50%
2020: 36.28%*
2025: 28.17%*

*Election held in two days

Source: Ministero dell'Interno


➤ europeelects.eu/italy

#Toscana #Regionali2025