Forwarded from [INTEL] PS VIP
HEAT ATS BREAKDOWN
Letโs see how NBA will work. Todays subject is Heat who are on a 5-0 ATS run. I guess because no one really believes in them anymore after they traded Butler. Theyโre playing against a fully injured 76ers team today. Let me elaborate.
The ATS graph (graph 1) hit through trend line (expecting it to reverse to the mean). The stats are also suggesting they will not cover: 22-31 ATS on Saturdays (-20.7% ROI), 33-36 ATS as away favorite (-8.6% ROI).
The 2nd graph includes all worst scenarios for Heat ATS. Itโs a match. Whatโs also interesting is they are on a 4-0 ATS run which only happened once and never got past that mark. And the graph is above the trend line so yeah, looking for it to go down.
I think thatโs enough to take 76ers spread today.
Good luck!
Letโs see how NBA will work. Todays subject is Heat who are on a 5-0 ATS run. I guess because no one really believes in them anymore after they traded Butler. Theyโre playing against a fully injured 76ers team today. Let me elaborate.
The ATS graph (graph 1) hit through trend line (expecting it to reverse to the mean). The stats are also suggesting they will not cover: 22-31 ATS on Saturdays (-20.7% ROI), 33-36 ATS as away favorite (-8.6% ROI).
The 2nd graph includes all worst scenarios for Heat ATS. Itโs a match. Whatโs also interesting is they are on a 4-0 ATS run which only happened once and never got past that mark. And the graph is above the trend line so yeah, looking for it to go down.
I think thatโs enough to take 76ers spread today.
Good luck!
โค4๐3๐ซก1
Forwarded from [INTEL] PS VIP
INTEL SYSTEM 3/29 RECAP ๐
NHL:
Flyers / Sabres UNDER 6 (-107) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Islanders ML (+210) โ to win 0.5 U โ
Avalanche / Blues OVER 5.5 (-120) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Soccer MLS:
New England / New York UNDER 2.5 (-130) โ risk 0.5 U โ
NBA:
76ers +8.5 (-110) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Lakers / Grizzlies OVER 238.5 (-110) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Soccer MLS:
Atlanta / New York OVER 2.5 (-161) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Yesterday: -1.48 U
Month: -8.31 U
NHL:
Flyers / Sabres UNDER 6 (-107) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Islanders ML (+210) โ to win 0.5 U โ
Avalanche / Blues OVER 5.5 (-120) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Soccer MLS:
New England / New York UNDER 2.5 (-130) โ risk 0.5 U โ
NBA:
76ers +8.5 (-110) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Lakers / Grizzlies OVER 238.5 (-110) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Soccer MLS:
Atlanta / New York OVER 2.5 (-161) โ risk 0.5 U โ
Yesterday: -1.48 U
Month: -8.31 U
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PANTHERS O/U BREAKDOWN
Straight to the point:
The graph is below the trend line. Panthers are 14-5 to the OVER on Sunday (74% win rate, 42% ROI). Panthers are 46-24 to the OVER coming off 1 UNDER (66% win rate, 27% ROI). Panthers are 78-58 to the OVER as home favorite (57.3% win rate, 10.7% ROI)
Panthers / Canadiens OVER 5.5 (-125)
Straight to the point:
The graph is below the trend line. Panthers are 14-5 to the OVER on Sunday (74% win rate, 42% ROI). Panthers are 46-24 to the OVER coming off 1 UNDER (66% win rate, 27% ROI). Panthers are 78-58 to the OVER as home favorite (57.3% win rate, 10.7% ROI)
Panthers / Canadiens OVER 5.5 (-125)
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INTEL MLB SYSTEM TEST:
Orioles ML +115 โ risk 0.5 U
Orioles / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -120 โ risk 0.5 U
Braves ML +100 โ risk 0.5 U
Orioles ML +115 โ risk 0.5 U
Orioles / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -120 โ risk 0.5 U
Braves ML +100 โ risk 0.5 U
TESTING THE SYSTEM FOR MLB. NOT ACTUALLY BETTING IT. In a couple weeks, Kold will also help me with the MLB system. I will be tracking his and mine approaches for the same plays and we will see which one works best.
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Padres are off to a 3-0 start against the Braves. Won twice as underdogs and once as favorites.
Padres are 9-16 coming off 3 straight wins. (36% win rate, -35% ROI). Padres are 24-29 on Sundays (45% win rate, -21.3% ROI). Padres 77-58 as home favorites but the ROI is still -9.5% due to juiced average odds.
Will Braves (+110) avoid a sweep today?
๐ โ Braves win
๐ โ Padres win
Padres are 9-16 coming off 3 straight wins. (36% win rate, -35% ROI). Padres are 24-29 on Sundays (45% win rate, -21.3% ROI). Padres 77-58 as home favorites but the ROI is still -9.5% due to juiced average odds.
Will Braves (+110) avoid a sweep today?
๐ โ Braves win
๐ โ Padres win
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Forwarded from [INTEL] PS VIP
๐จ Announcement from @realdeal666:
I tried and I failed. I am killing the Intel system.
Won't blame bad luck. It must be my fault and wrong approach. Sucks that it's been working so well for the first 2 months and everything fell apart after I thought it was worth adding to the paid section.
Kold's system is still the only sustainable system I've seen love it or hate it. Even after being down on the month he still managed to profit.
I'm still be helping Kold with everything I can, we're still partners, it's all good.
From now on I will focus on intel itself: trends, breakdowns, interesting angles. All that will be posted on the free page. Might keep the soccer system going, it's been alright.
Kold offered next month free for everyone who joined us so if you still haven't join the channel for April plays, dm me @realdeal666 or Kold @koldishot
If you have any questions or want to tell me something feel free to message me @realdeal666
I tried and I failed. I am killing the Intel system.
Won't blame bad luck. It must be my fault and wrong approach. Sucks that it's been working so well for the first 2 months and everything fell apart after I thought it was worth adding to the paid section.
Kold's system is still the only sustainable system I've seen love it or hate it. Even after being down on the month he still managed to profit.
I'm still be helping Kold with everything I can, we're still partners, it's all good.
From now on I will focus on intel itself: trends, breakdowns, interesting angles. All that will be posted on the free page. Might keep the soccer system going, it's been alright.
Kold offered next month free for everyone who joined us so if you still haven't join the channel for April plays, dm me @realdeal666 or Kold @koldishot
If you have any questions or want to tell me something feel free to message me @realdeal666
โค8
It had to be done ๐ซก
Kold's approach is working, no point in changing anything. My approach was most likely flawed from the beginning even though it was looking so promising.
I will focus only on Intel and helping Kold. Seems like the breakdowns are doing ok. Expect another one within 30 minutes
Kold's approach is working, no point in changing anything. My approach was most likely flawed from the beginning even though it was looking so promising.
I will focus only on Intel and helping Kold. Seems like the breakdowns are doing ok. Expect another one within 30 minutes
โค6๐2
MAVERICKS O/U BREAKDOWN
* These graphs show the performance of betting the OVERs in Mavericks' games since 2021 *
Mavericks have been on a hell of a OVERs run (10-1 L11 to the OVER). Will they go on? Let's see:
Graph 1: overall, Mavs are 17-28 to the OVER on Monday (37.8% win rate, -27% ROI). Mavs are 33-42 to the OVER after last game went OVER (44% win rate, -16% ROI).
Graph 2: best scenarios for Mavs UNDERS: home / away fav + home underdog + Mon/Wed/Fri. Mondays: 12-23 (34.3% win rate, -34.5% ROI). Coming off 2 overs: 3-8 (27% win rate, -48% ROI).
Mavs are facing Nets today who are 33-42 to the OVER this season and 15-21 as away to the OVER.
My intel suggests the UNDER is a decent play today. Will it cash?
๐ โ UNDER
๐ โ OVER
* These graphs show the performance of betting the OVERs in Mavericks' games since 2021 *
Mavericks have been on a hell of a OVERs run (10-1 L11 to the OVER). Will they go on? Let's see:
Graph 1: overall, Mavs are 17-28 to the OVER on Monday (37.8% win rate, -27% ROI). Mavs are 33-42 to the OVER after last game went OVER (44% win rate, -16% ROI).
Graph 2: best scenarios for Mavs UNDERS: home / away fav + home underdog + Mon/Wed/Fri. Mondays: 12-23 (34.3% win rate, -34.5% ROI). Coming off 2 overs: 3-8 (27% win rate, -48% ROI).
Mavs are facing Nets today who are 33-42 to the OVER this season and 15-21 as away to the OVER.
My intel suggests the UNDER is a decent play today. Will it cash?
๐ โ UNDER
๐ โ OVER
Breakdowns stats:
NHL: 3-0
NBA: 0-1
MLB: 0-1
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Intel system: weekend soccer plays
Friday plays:
โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese UNDER 2 (-122) โ risk 0.2 U โ
โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese DRAW (+200) โrisk 0.3 U โ
โฝ๏ธ๐ซ๐ท Nice / Nantes DRAW (+380) โ risk 0.2 U โ
Friday plays:
โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese UNDER 2 (-122) โ risk 0.2 U โ
โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese DRAW (+200) โrisk 0.3 U โ
โฝ๏ธ๐ซ๐ท Nice / Nantes DRAW (+380) โ risk 0.2 U โ
I'll drop Saturday & Sunday plays in the next post
โค6๐ญ2
Big Dog Intel๐พ
Intel system: weekend soccer plays Friday plays: โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese UNDER 2 (-122) โ risk 0.2 U โ
โฝ๏ธ๐ฎ๐น Genoa / Udinese DRAW (+200) โrisk 0.3 U โ โฝ๏ธ๐ซ๐ท Nice / Nantes DRAW (+380) โ risk 0.2 U โ I'll drop Saturday & Sunday plays in the next post
Saturday:
Draws
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace / Brighton DRAW (+240) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ช๐ธ Real Madrid / Valencia DRAW (+500) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ซ๐ท Lyon / Lille DRAW (+260) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Atlanta / Dallas DRAW (+300) โ risk 0.05U โ
Totals
๐ฉ๐ช Mainz / Kiel UNDER 3 (-112) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐บ๐ธ New York / Chicago UNDER 2.5 (-105) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Atlanta / Dallas OVER 3 (-116) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Charlotte / Nashville OVER 2.5 (-128) โ risk 0.1 U โ
Add: ๐ช๐ธ Barcelona / Betis UNDER 3.5 (-120) โ risk 0.2 U โ
Draws
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace / Brighton DRAW (+240) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ช๐ธ Real Madrid / Valencia DRAW (+500) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ซ๐ท Lyon / Lille DRAW (+260) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Atlanta / Dallas DRAW (+300) โ risk 0.05U โ
Totals
๐ฉ๐ช Mainz / Kiel UNDER 3 (-112) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐บ๐ธ New York / Chicago UNDER 2.5 (-105) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Atlanta / Dallas OVER 3 (-116) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐บ๐ธ Charlotte / Nashville OVER 2.5 (-128) โ risk 0.1 U โ
Add: ๐ช๐ธ Barcelona / Betis UNDER 3.5 (-120) โ risk 0.2 U โ
โค5๐ซก1
Big Dog Intel๐พ
Saturday: Draws ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace / Brighton DRAW (+240) โ risk 0.2 U โ ๐ช๐ธ Real Madrid / Valencia DRAW (+500) โ risk 0.1 U โ ๐ซ๐ท Lyon / Lille DRAW (+260) โ risk 0.2 U โ ๐บ๐ธ Atlanta / Dallas DRAW (+300) โ risk 0.05U โ
Totals ๐ฉ๐ช Mainz / Kiel UNDER 3โฆ
Sunday:
Draws:
๐ฎ๐น Torino / Verona DRAW (+250) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ฎ๐น Roma / Juventus DRAW (+215) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brentford / Chelsea DRAW (+275) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ช๐ธ Valladolid / Getafe DRAW (+220) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช St Pauli / M'gladbach DRAW (+245) โ risk 0.3 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช Union Berlin / Wolfsburg DRAW (+235) โ risk 0. 2U โ
๐ซ๐ท Reims / Strasbourg DRAW (+250) โ risk 0.2 U โ
Totals:
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Fulham / Liverpool OVER 2.5 (-127) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ฎ๐น Roma / Juventus UNDER 2.5 (-150) โ risk 0.3 U โ
๐ซ๐ท Reims / Strasbourg UNDER 2.5 (-115) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช St Pauli / M'gladbach OVER 2.5 (-120) โ risk 0.2 U โ
Draws:
๐ฎ๐น Torino / Verona DRAW (+250) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ฎ๐น Roma / Juventus DRAW (+215) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brentford / Chelsea DRAW (+275) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ช๐ธ Valladolid / Getafe DRAW (+220) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช St Pauli / M'gladbach DRAW (+245) โ risk 0.3 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช Union Berlin / Wolfsburg DRAW (+235) โ risk 0. 2U โ
๐ซ๐ท Reims / Strasbourg DRAW (+250) โ risk 0.2 U โ
Totals:
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Fulham / Liverpool OVER 2.5 (-127) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ฎ๐น Roma / Juventus UNDER 2.5 (-150) โ risk 0.3 U โ
๐ซ๐ท Reims / Strasbourg UNDER 2.5 (-115) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ฉ๐ช St Pauli / M'gladbach OVER 2.5 (-120) โ risk 0.2 U โ
โค5๐ซก1
DODGERS -1.5 WILL FEED FAMILIES
Been hearing this ^ since the start of the season. But Dodgers -1.5 has been profitable over the past 2 seasons (including alt lines when they are underdogs too). And they are 7-4 this season.
25-7 on Mondays
55-36 coming off 1 L (30% ROI)
This includes Dodgers -1.5 no matter if they are favorites or underdogs.
Dodgers -1.5 is -110 today against the Nationals. Will they cover? ๐
๐ โ Dodgers will cover -1.5
๐ โ Nationals will cover +1.5 ๐
Been hearing this ^ since the start of the season. But Dodgers -1.5 has been profitable over the past 2 seasons (including alt lines when they are underdogs too). And they are 7-4 this season.
25-7 on Mondays
55-36 coming off 1 L (30% ROI)
This includes Dodgers -1.5 no matter if they are favorites or underdogs.
Dodgers -1.5 is -110 today against the Nationals. Will they cover? ๐
๐ โ Dodgers will cover -1.5
๐ โ Nationals will cover +1.5 ๐
๐42๐17โค6๐ฅ2
Not necessarily today, but Dodgers -1.5 will feed families.. in the long run.
๐6๐ญ6โค2๐ค2
Big Dog Intel๐พ
Sunday: Draws: ๐ฎ๐น Torino / Verona DRAW (+250) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ฎ๐น Roma / Juventus DRAW (+215) โ risk 0.2 U โ
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brentford / Chelsea DRAW (+275) โ risk 0.1 U โ
๐ช๐ธ Valladolid / Getafe DRAW (+220) โ risk 0.1 U โ ๐ฉ๐ช St Pauli / M'gladbach DRAW (+245) โ riskโฆ
Good soccer weekend.
Testing MLB on paper for now, not posting it. Might start posting once soccer season is over. Unless it crashes out again ๐
Testing MLB on paper for now, not posting it. Might start posting once soccer season is over. Unless it crashes out again ๐
โค5