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My NBA takes:
Iโm leaning Rockets, Lakers and Lakers / Twolves Under today becauseโฆ
Nuggets covered yesterday which made it a 3-0 run for the favorites in the last game of the NBA playoff slate. Same three last games all went OVER the total.
There is also another trend for the first game โ Rockets / Warriors. Since the start of the playoffs, thereโs a very interesting pattern for the first games:
Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog โ all against the spread. Bucks covered yesterday, Cavs covered 2 days ago, and so on to the very start of the playoffs. Anyways, I believe this pattern continues and Rockets cover.
Iโm leaning Rockets, Lakers and Lakers / Twolves Under today becauseโฆ
Nuggets covered yesterday which made it a 3-0 run for the favorites in the last game of the NBA playoff slate. Same three last games all went OVER the total.
There is also another trend for the first game โ Rockets / Warriors. Since the start of the playoffs, thereโs a very interesting pattern for the first games:
Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog / Favorite / underdog โ all against the spread. Bucks covered yesterday, Cavs covered 2 days ago, and so on to the very start of the playoffs. Anyways, I believe this pattern continues and Rockets cover.
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No MLB takes for today so I'll just summarize why am I doing all this stuff with tracking MLB favorites:
1. I can see how the game day might go โ right now Wednesday is the underdog day, Friday and Saturday are the favorites days.
2. I know that favorites prevail in the last game of the day: 24-11 (68% win rate)
3. I know that home teams prevail, and very seriously.
So, if used properly, the sheet and chart help in choosing the good plays among our cappers.
1. I can see how the game day might go โ right now Wednesday is the underdog day, Friday and Saturday are the favorites days.
2. I know that favorites prevail in the last game of the day: 24-11 (68% win rate)
3. I know that home teams prevail, and very seriously.
So, if used properly, the sheet and chart help in choosing the good plays among our cappers.
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NHL was good yesterday โ one underdog which aligned with our NHL capper โ Panthers ML! And in this case favorite was a good move in the late game (which was also confirmed by our NHL goat Major Wedgy). So this sheet works as good as the MLB one.
Underdog day today according to the sheet. I expect 2 underdogs. Senators / Leafs is a close game, all other games have a clear underdog โ Wild, Stars, Kings. All underdogs have chances to win in my opinion.
But my job here is done. We have to wait for cappers now to make a move.
Underdog day today according to the sheet. I expect 2 underdogs. Senators / Leafs is a close game, all other games have a clear underdog โ Wild, Stars, Kings. All underdogs have chances to win in my opinion.
But my job here is done. We have to wait for cappers now to make a move.
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NBA takes went 2-1 yesterday. Lakers lost in 5 ๐ I remember seeing so many cappers to bet on "Lakers to advance" which was like -140 ??? That was wild ๐
2 games today (the best two matchups of the first round in my opinion)
Pistons / Knicks. The D/F/D/F/D/F/D/F/D/F trend still stands, so underdog has to cover today if the trend continues. I think the series ends today. But that's just me.
Nothing on Clippers / Denver today. I'd like this series to go to 7 games. Clippers should be winning at home, and then they will have to prove they have the champions cajones to fight in Denver in game 7.
2 games today (the best two matchups of the first round in my opinion)
Pistons / Knicks. The D/F/D/F/D/F/D/F/D/F trend still stands, so underdog has to cover today if the trend continues. I think the series ends today. But that's just me.
Nothing on Clippers / Denver today. I'd like this series to go to 7 games. Clippers should be winning at home, and then they will have to prove they have the champions cajones to fight in Denver in game 7.
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Saturdays are not only a fav day in the MLB but in the NHL playoffs too:
Playoffs favs are 21-10 on Saturdays ๐ So we should expect Avalanche to advance... but...
Dallas head coach Pete DeBoer is 2-0 in Game 7s since joining the Stars, with both games being won at home. He holds an all-time record of 8-0 in Game 7s of a Stanley Cup Playoff series ๐คทโโ๏ธ๐คทโโ๏ธ
Playoffs favs are 21-10 on Saturdays ๐ So we should expect Avalanche to advance... but...
Dallas head coach Pete DeBoer is 2-0 in Game 7s since joining the Stars, with both games being won at home. He holds an all-time record of 8-0 in Game 7s of a Stanley Cup Playoff series ๐คทโโ๏ธ๐คทโโ๏ธ
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NBA is interesting today
Firstly, we have the first game Fav/Dog pattern which has been working perfectly since the start of the playoffs. Underdog covered and won last time ( it was the Knicks) so one thing I will say is ... Cavs should dismantle the Pacers today.
Although I think Pacers are no scape goats and throughout the series they will cause problems.
Secondly, underdogs are 11-4 in the last game of the day โ Warriors ๐๐๐ Idk man Warriors looked fucking washed last game. They couldn't keep up w Rockets.
If we see a consensus on either game I think I'll look to fade it.
Firstly, we have the first game Fav/Dog pattern which has been working perfectly since the start of the playoffs. Underdog covered and won last time ( it was the Knicks) so one thing I will say is ... Cavs should dismantle the Pacers today.
Although I think Pacers are no scape goats and throughout the series they will cause problems.
Secondly, underdogs are 11-4 in the last game of the day โ Warriors ๐๐๐ Idk man Warriors looked fucking washed last game. They couldn't keep up w Rockets.
If we see a consensus on either game I think I'll look to fade it.
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Obvious favs won yesterday, home underdogs went 1-1. Not great not terrible, my MLB "system" (https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_us/423) got a little profit yesterday
Hoping favs dominate so that there's more underdogs on Wed-Thu.
Hoping favs dominate so that there's more underdogs on Wed-Thu.
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NBA was fun yesterday. Both underdogs won outright. Underdogs prevail, can't say anything on how long it will continue.
I think there's a good chance for another underdog day: Pacers prove they are no scape goats and can keep up with the leaders of the East, Twolves are not a great team to bet as home favorite. Nothing material though.
I think there's a good chance for another underdog day: Pacers prove they are no scape goats and can keep up with the leaders of the East, Twolves are not a great team to bet as home favorite. Nothing material though.