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NBA

It's going to be a great Finals. We should see 4:1 at best πŸ˜‚

But I'll root for Pacers to put up some kind of fight.

But If I'm posting then I have some intel to share. And I'm sharing covers.com consensus. So, in June consensus totals are just 1-9. And of course the public is pouring in on the OVER. So I have no choice but to route for the under.

πŸ‘ β€” OVER
πŸ‘Ž β€” UNDER
Forwarded from Cappers Intel +
NBA

A lot of cappers on OKC β€” that's the only thing that I am suspicious of. But there are also good cappers on OKC. I expect OKC to start strong and cover in the 1st game.

Do what you want with this intel, I'll enjoy a 3-1 day with MLB plays 🫑
just look at the fans' facesπŸ˜… I don't think they were expecting this kind of ending, but we were expecting exactly this kind of final gameπŸ”₯ Haliburton, who are you?πŸ‘½

And yes, UNDER cash πŸ’° 2-0 nhl&nba finals
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WNBA

ATL / CON OVER 158.5 (-110) 0.5U
LA -1.5 (-110) 1U
MLB

Not much change. Dogs are still winning the majority of games. Let me share the dogs I think are good:

Cubs
Reds
Padres

If I were to choose favorites I would do the first and the last games again (Rays already won). So let’s see if Braves win.
NHL

Last time I called it perfectly. Oilers won, panthers scored first. But oilers deserved it. Bobrovsky is not him so far. Although skinner is also not perfect.

Anyways. My opinion is the same. I think oilers win again. Let me remind you that since 2023 in June, favorites are 12-2 SU.

And overall I think Panthers will not see back to back Championships.

πŸ›’ - πŸ”₯
πŸ† - ❀️
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WNBA

Finally picking up something here.

0.5U teaser (-110):
Seattle -1
LV / GS over 156

0.5U single:
Seattle -5.5 (-110)
MLB

Dogs won't stop losing so I though "what might be the breaking point in the season when dogs stop winning so much?"

So I decided to compare the MLB season with the NHL season.

Favorites were winning in both leagues at the start of the seasons, then underdogs took over. In the NHL, favorites took over again after the All Star break (circled on the screenshot).

So maybe we'll see the same kind of dynamics in the MLB. But while underdogs are winning, try taking advantage of it.
MLB

Switched up the charts β€” now we'll watch the underdogs progression 😁 And they're progressing pretty consistently. Especially home underdogs β€” almost 20U profit and 6% ROI.

More detailed stats on home underdogs on the second screenshot. It's as if you can't go broke by only betting home underdogs this season. 153 wins, 163 losses. Not bad given that the average odds are +130.
WNBA

Washington / Connecticut under 156 (-110) 1U

0.5u teaser (-110):
Connecticut +12.5
Washington / Connecticut under 160.5
NBA

Idk about you but I'll keep fading the covers.com public β€” the under has to be the move again.

And there's absolutely no way Pacers win or cover today right? Thunder fans won't handle two losses at home.

Who wins & covers today?

πŸ†— β€” πŸ”₯
πŸ‘ β€” ❀️
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Big Dog Motivation Reading 😎

We're all here for the same reason: to make that $ from sports betting.

If you're taking sports betting seriously, you must know that you are at a disadvantage from the jump because of the vig (aka juice aka margin) and you need to win 52.38 percent of your -110 (1.91) bets just to break even. Let alone the amount of information books and oddsmakers have access to unlike us regular gamblers.

If you're taking sports betting seriously, you should maintain a clear financial approach: no all ins, no chasing, none of that bs. Your bankroll should be divided into units / percentages and each unit should be used correctly depending on the size of your bankroll and goals. Do not expect that you will double your bankroll every month. Realistically, when the betting environment is ok, the real average figures are 10-30% profit monthly.

Betting environment = cappers that we track & leagues trends (e.g. no anomalies like current underdogs domination in the MLB).

But we have cappers & stats. Most cappers are pointless per se (barely profitable, can go cold at any moment, etc). But the reason I track all these cappers is to increase chances of winning by tailing certain cappers in certain spots, to offset the advantage of oddsmakers. In the long run, this allows us to allow us to win 2-3% more which is a solid increase in profit (56.27% win rate, 4.09% ROI since I started tracking the performance of the paid channel analytics back in April 2023).

Sports betting is a long-term thing. Everyone who says sports betting is easy can just fuck off. I know cappers say that it is easy so that their followers pay them asap. But it's pretty damn hard to maintain a consistent income. For me, it's still ups and downs.

It is also important to know when to bet. For example, cappers are a material to work with, most of them bet favorites (can't do anything about it). Right now, if you're only betting MLB favorites ... you're walking on a minefield. And I'm a fool for tailing cappers this past month with MLB favorites. Should've recognized earlier. Live and learn.

And now we transition to one thing that most sports bettors never heard off ... PATIENCE! Yes, it's fine if you take a day / week / month off. I'm fine with taking days off when I feel like betting environment I'm used to is not the same (right now cappers are doing really bad so I'm minimizing amount of bets)

Night Night πŸ‘
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All the MLB intel I've gathered comes in handy.

Not only we had ISW 2.5U MLB on Guardians, but also knew that Guardians were 20-3 SU off 3 losses. 21-3 now. Don't forget about that next time they're on 3 losses πŸ˜‰

Dodgers -1.5 was another sweet spot. 0-7 run for their -1.5 run lines. And they covered.

Actually trying to make our betting easier with all the intel πŸ€“πŸ‘

As always, daily full recaps of the premium content: https://www.tg-me.com/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
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Yeah my paid service is probably not for an average bettor but that's why I always say hit me up @realdeal666 for a free trial before paying πŸ’―
MLB

Just when I switched over to the underdogs on the sheet ... favs went 10-5. But still underdogs are doing well so sticking with this sheet for now. Monday is pretty chill, new series of games, and not a lot of trends.

But a few trends suggest that Dodgers is a mf lock today.

What do you think?

πŸ˜€ β€” ❀️
πŸ˜€ β€” πŸ”₯
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2025/07/04 22:51:27
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