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Big Dog Intel🐾
MLB Long have we waited! Favorites are taking over!! MLB favorites went 12-3 straight up yesterday. 19-7 in the last 2 days. I'll be looking for cappers who are betting favorites today 👀
MLB
Yesterday was just an anomaly. Underdogs are still dominating. 😭
Yesterday was just an anomaly. Underdogs are still dominating. 😭
NHL
Leaning Oilers here because of the stats. So will they end the series today and we see last year's finals rematch?
🛢 — 👍
⭐️ — 🔥
Leaning Oilers here because of the stats. So will they end the series today and we see last year's finals rematch?
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NHL
We finished the final game of the conference finals on a positive note, I hope you were also on the side of the underdog - Edmonton in our case
We're in for a rematch of last year's final, a very interesting battle. There is an interesting fact in my sheets:
Favorites are 11-2 in the playoff games of June, so we will be looking for home winners
Who do you think will win the cup?
🛢 — 🔥
🐆 — ❤️
We finished the final game of the conference finals on a positive note, I hope you were also on the side of the underdog - Edmonton in our case
We're in for a rematch of last year's final, a very interesting battle. There is an interesting fact in my sheets:
Favorites are 11-2 in the playoff games of June, so we will be looking for home winners
Who do you think will win the cup?
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MLB
The chart is slowly starting to level off and there is a gut feeling that in June we will again see favorites dominating. But it's too early to draw conclusions.
Today there are some interesting trends on the first and last games: in both cases favorites are 7-2 SU and in both cases favorites play at home.
Feels like Cubs / Mariners parlay look good. Or is it too easy?
Cubs + Mariners parlay:
👍 — 🔒
👎 — L
The chart is slowly starting to level off and there is a gut feeling that in June we will again see favorites dominating. But it's too early to draw conclusions.
Today there are some interesting trends on the first and last games: in both cases favorites are 7-2 SU and in both cases favorites play at home.
Feels like Cubs / Mariners parlay look good. Or is it too easy?
Cubs + Mariners parlay:
👍 — 🔒
👎 — L
MLB
Underdogs still way more profitable than favs. Expecting smth like that today too.
The Cubs / Mariners parlay was nowhere near close to hitting. But MLB lab plays did very well — especially since my favorite Nats and Angels both won too.
https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab
Underdogs still way more profitable than favs. Expecting smth like that today too.
The Cubs / Mariners parlay was nowhere near close to hitting. But MLB lab plays did very well — especially since my favorite Nats and Angels both won too.
https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab
MLB
That's how the month should've ended I suppose. What next?
My opinion is favorites should win 60-61% of games (similarly to NHL). Currently favs are winning 58% on the season. So there's room for growth. And I think they'll go off in June.
What I also noticed is that the most profitable favorites are priced -200 or more expensive: 109-33 | 76% win rate | 5.5% ROI (8U profit if you risked 1 unit on all)
Underdogs went 184-212 SU in May: 46.5% win rate (+137 average odds) | 6% ROI | 25U profit.
Highest win rate odds for MLB underdogs (based off closing lines):
+165
+110
+100
-105
More info to come today. Got a lot to share!
That's how the month should've ended I suppose. What next?
My opinion is favorites should win 60-61% of games (similarly to NHL). Currently favs are winning 58% on the season. So there's room for growth. And I think they'll go off in June.
What I also noticed is that the most profitable favorites are priced -200 or more expensive: 109-33 | 76% win rate | 5.5% ROI (8U profit if you risked 1 unit on all)
Underdogs went 184-212 SU in May: 46.5% win rate (+137 average odds) | 6% ROI | 25U profit.
Highest win rate odds for MLB underdogs (based off closing lines):
+165
+110
+100
-105
More info to come today. Got a lot to share!
Also. Interesting stats on the early games.
Home favorites are 30-11 in the first game of the day
Home underdogs are 14-7
Home teams are 44-18 in the first game of the day❗️
Best days for home favs: Tuesday, Thursday, Friday, Sunday. On Wednesdays favs are 2-7. Might be a good fade especially if it's an away team.
MLB Lab plays: https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab
Home favorites are 30-11 in the first game of the day
Home underdogs are 14-7
Home teams are 44-18 in the first game of the day❗️
Best days for home favs: Tuesday, Thursday, Friday, Sunday. On Wednesdays favs are 2-7. Might be a good fade especially if it's an away team.
MLB Lab plays: https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab
Forwarded from BETTING INTEL 🔌
BETTING INTEL PAID CHAT MAY RECAP
ISW went off
BTBB is the MLB goat
Anon 5U plays are great as always (all other plays are mediocre)
Cesar, Travy, AFS — solid bonus cappers
All cappers plays are backed with long-term stats
recaps of paid content (see what you can expect): https://www.tg-me.com/+EeleG0oLdho3YTA6
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ISW went off
BTBB is the MLB goat
Anon 5U plays are great as always (all other plays are mediocre)
Cesar, Travy, AFS — solid bonus cappers
All cappers plays are backed with long-term stats
❗️🌴 SUMMER SPECIAL 🌴❗️
$349 for all paid contents (cappers, stats, etc) through September 1st
Sign here https://cappersintel.com or dm me @realdeal666
( $300 crypto or paypal — dm @realdeal666 )
20 spots only. There's 10k of you and I'm here alone, I don't have time for everyone 🥲
Yesterday I said that MLB favs priced -200 are winning at a solid clip (109-33 overall, 76% win rate).
What's more interesting is that betting them is actually profitable. But not everyone would bet a -400 favorite on the money line, right? So here's what I did:
If there is more than one such favorite in any given game day — we put them all in a parlay and risk 1 unit. If there is only one favorite — we still risk 1 unit on the ML.
And there's the results:
34 wins, 28 losses
14-2 ML (21% ROI)
20-26 parlays (9.9% ROI)
If we'll see favorites win a lot more in June like it was in April then it might a very good strategy to follow.
Also 8-1 on Mondays 👀
I only see Tigers ML at -222 now. Marlins are close (-190) but won't qualify if they are not -200 by game time.
What's more interesting is that betting them is actually profitable. But not everyone would bet a -400 favorite on the money line, right? So here's what I did:
If there is more than one such favorite in any given game day — we put them all in a parlay and risk 1 unit. If there is only one favorite — we still risk 1 unit on the ML.
And there's the results:
34 wins, 28 losses
14-2 ML (21% ROI)
20-26 parlays (9.9% ROI)
If we'll see favorites win a lot more in June like it was in April then it might a very good strategy to follow.
Also 8-1 on Mondays 👀
I only see Tigers ML at -222 now. Marlins are close (-190) but won't qualify if they are not -200 by game time.
MLB
Plenty of underdogs yesterday. Waiting to see how this month unfolds. But I have something interesting today...
How about a Marlins / Dodgers parlay (+177)?
Marlins
First game stats:
Home favorites are 31-12 (7-2 on Tuesdays).
Rockies are 1-8 coming off a win.
Dodgers
Last game stats:
Home favorites are 30-19. Currently on a 0-6 run — happened once this season and ended on 7th.
Is this the lock right here?
Plenty of underdogs yesterday. Waiting to see how this month unfolds. But I have something interesting today...
How about a Marlins / Dodgers parlay (+177)?
Marlins
First game stats:
Home favorites are 31-12 (7-2 on Tuesdays).
Rockies are 1-8 coming off a win.
Dodgers
Last game stats:
Home favorites are 30-19. Currently on a 0-6 run — happened once this season and ended on 7th.
Is this the lock right here?
MLB
Dogs are still barking. Only favorites of over -200 (<=1.50) are profitable.
Marlins took an L, Dodgers won. FMB mushed Marlins 😭 ( hit me up if you need his plays tho - I'll send them to you @realdeal666 )
Marlins fit a 7-0 trend, basically a no-lose spot this season. First game favorites are 7-0 off 2 losses. Just took them live +100.
No way Rockies sweep them, right? 😂
Dogs are still barking. Only favorites of over -200 (<=1.50) are profitable.
Marlins took an L, Dodgers won. FMB mushed Marlins 😭 ( hit me up if you need his plays tho - I'll send them to you @realdeal666 )
Marlins fit a 7-0 trend, basically a no-lose spot this season. First game favorites are 7-0 off 2 losses. Just took them live +100.
No way Rockies sweep them, right? 😂
NHL
The Finals! Long expected. Might even bet this game.
Tempted to go Oilers ML. June Favorites are hitting 84% since 2023.
Might wait for a live bet knowing Oilers.
Who do you think wins the first game?
🛢 — 🔥
🐆 — ❤️
The Finals! Long expected. Might even bet this game.
Tempted to go Oilers ML. June Favorites are hitting 84% since 2023.
Might wait for a live bet knowing Oilers.
Who do you think wins the first game?
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Big Dog Intel🐾
NHL The Finals! Long expected. Might even bet this game. Tempted to go Oilers ML. June Favorites are hitting 84% since 2023. Might wait for a live bet knowing Oilers. Who do you think wins the first game? 🛢 — 🔥 🐆 — ❤️
Comebackmonton 🛢
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Nope. Underdogs are still dominating, going 8-7 SU yesterday. Well, let's get used to it then.
Top 5 underdogs imho today:
Orioles +135
Mets +115
Guardians +230
Dbacks +140
And of course Nationals +130
I think at least 3 of these should cash.
And I wouldn't mind if I jinx all underdogs and favorites sweep today — I want cappers to do better (of course cappers barely bet any underdogs lol)
Top 5 underdogs imho today:
Orioles +135
Mets +115
Guardians +230
Dbacks +140
And of course Nationals +130
I think at least 3 of these should cash.
And I wouldn't mind if I jinx all underdogs and favorites sweep today — I want cappers to do better (of course cappers barely bet any underdogs lol)