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MLB favs are still not doing so well β€” first time since the start of the season I'm painting this chart red.

I'm still of the opinion that home favorites is the way to bet MLB β€” 64% win rate after all.
NHL favs been doing well β€” 5-1 over the last 3 days.

14-23 on Tuesdays though makes me think Stars lose today... But that's just my two cents.
No NBA trends today. So I thought why not get ready for WNBA.

I've got stats. I'm sure I can find ways to turn it to profits β€” trends are clear, graphs are mostly trending downwards. And what's great is that there are not that many games each day β€” easier to analyze.

React on all posts. I want to see you engage. And then when WNBA season comes I'll become a WNBA capper for only $99 / week share the stuff I'll be betting.
Pacers vs Knicks in the ECF 😭

Pacers vs OKC finals πŸ’€ (no way Knicks 6-man lineup beats deep Pacers team)
MLB

Favorites are winning 56.5% of games so far. But obviously juiced losses like Padres couple days ago will make the situation horrible.

Home teams are doing great:

2-0 home underdogs yesterday
8-3 home favorites yesterday
Intel MLB 5/14

23-7 Wednesdays

Dodgers -1.5 -130
Reds under 8.5 -110
Dbacks / Giants over 8 -120
Padres / Angels under 8.5 +100
Soccer in May has been treating us well. Also sorted the profit by leagues: Germany is most profitable, Spain is least profitable. We've got midweek games:

Wednesday:
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Seattle UNDER 2.5 β€” risk 0.4 U
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Atlanta DRAW +300 β€” risk 0.1 U
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Atlanta OVER 2.5 (-150) β€” risk 0.2 U
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Charlotte DRAW +290 β€” risk 0.25 U
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Charlotte OVER 2.5 (-130) β€” risk 0.1 U

Thursday:
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Getafe DRAW β€” risk 0.4 U
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Betis DRAW β€” risk 0.1U
NHL

Favorites are dominating (38-25) ... but still not profitable πŸ˜‚ Two games today, good chance for one fav / one dog type day. As usual - I'll wait for the first game to end.
NBA

Underdogs are fine in the NBA Playoffs. There's two games, both games can be final in the series.

I'd look into totals here and, in the playoffs usually one game goes over and the other stays under the total.

Biased opinion: Knicks win (and Timberwolves win too for the dog/fav balance).
MLB

Underdogs took over. The chart went below the "support" line (the one with the yellow).

Bet faves live, bet underdogs pregame.
NHL

One favorite & one underdog like we expected yesterday. Today we could see the same scenario. I hope it will be Capitals and Jets.

I will expect one over & one under today too. Ear;y games of the NHL playoffs are 4-1 L5 to the over and late games are 4-1 L5 to the under. Who could've expected Oilers / Golden Knights game to have 0 goals scored?
NBA

Only one game a day from now on. Second season in a row underdogs prevailed in late games (13-9 this season).

WNBA starts in two days. Then we'll have conference finals too. Gotta enjoy the last days of NBA (and bet too).

No NBA action today, just enjoying the Nuggets / Thunder game as a fan.
MLB

It's faves day (on paper) today: favs are 62-28 (68.9%) on Friday. But you see underdogs are winning a lot this month. Curious to see how the day will go

My trends with plays are posted here: https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab
NHL

Caps were disgusting. But one of my favorite cappers picked Jets yesterday (his NHL is 6-0 now). So dog/fav was irrelevant.

Favorites are 41-26 in these playoffs but barely profitable

One game today. Panthers are looking to close out the series. What you thinking?

πŸ† β€” πŸ‘
πŸ“ƒ β€” πŸ”₯
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WNBA

Just posting the plays now. Will have units for WNBA plays unlike Intel MLB. Sheet later when we have some history of plays.

LV Aces +3.5 -110 (1U)
CHI / IND UNDER 169.5 -110 (0.5U)
MLB

No changes here. Underdogs are dominating the faves. +200 underdogs winning left and right. Favs are winning 60% on Sat but Friday was supposed to be even better and what did we see?

Best odds for underdogs: +110, +120, +150 (somehow underdogs at these odds have higher win rates)

And yeah don't forget about Intel MLB: https://www.tg-me.com/mlb_lab. Saturdays are shitty for my MLB trends, I don't hide that and I'm not ashamed of that. My job is to deliver the intel - how you use this intel is up to you 🀝
NHL

We did not expect Panthers to lose right? Well, we'll see game 7.

Satudays = favorites. On the other hand, favorites been winning a lot, and just maybe Maple Leafs set the trend for the underdogs train?πŸ‘€πŸ‘€

Idk, I have no thoughts on Stars/Jets game. Maybe it's one of those "do not overthink it" games and Stars close it out.

What you think?

⭐️ β€” πŸ‘
πŸ›© β€” πŸ”₯
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Forwarded from Cappers Intel +
Why I will stay off Stars / Jets game today:

TBSB is coming off a lengthy winning streak (7-0 run), now on a LWLW pattern β€” expecting L today.

There was one similar occasion β€” 12-0 run then LWLWLW (and 0-8 run after)

Moreover, 3-5 NHL all-time & 27-32 (45.8%) Saturdays all-time.
MLB

The trend line is now facing downwards direction β€” underdogs are dominating 🐢

So for now just try to bet underdogs I guess. I'll refrain from betting favorites.
2025/07/06 07:00:08
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