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Crude just dropped over 4% today. Now down 15% from last week’s high. Reports say Iran wants to de-escalate with the US and Israel. The markets detect peace, and they’re pricing it in.
President Trump yesterday told “everyone [to] evacuate Tehran immediately.”

Yet, oil prices are up a mere +1.5% on the news.

Oil markets continue to price-in a short-lived conflict.
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JUST IN: Trump announces new pharma tariffs are imminent. He states he's not inclined to negotiate with Iran and claims the EU hasn't presented a fair deal yet.
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Trump denied holding talks with Iran and reiterated that nuclear weapons are unacceptable for the country.
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Trump Sends Mixed Signals on Iran Peace Talks

Just hours after proposing a “last ditch effort” meeting for a peace deal with Iran, Trump now says he’s “not too much in the mood” to negotiate.

According to Politico, the U.S. President is demanding a “complete give-up” by Iran as a condition for any agreement.

The next 24 hours could be decisive.
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You will never guess what happened 14 years later
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JUST IN: Israel is set to strike major targets in Tehran today, according to Katz.
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Trade Watcher
JUST IN: Israel is set to strike major targets in Tehran today, according to Katz.
Iran has launched missiles toward Israel.
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When tariffs meet tech — and lose.
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Global Rate Cuts Accelerate

Central banks slashed rates 15 times in May — the fastest pace this year and among the largest waves this century.

For context: 50 cuts happened in March 2020, 29 in December 2008.

Europe just made its 8th cut this cycle, while the Fed remains on pause.

Monetary policy is diverging amid growing uncertainty.
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JUST IN: The US is deploying fighter jets to the Middle East and prolonging warplane missions to strengthen defenses due to the Israel-Iran conflict, according to US officials.
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JUST IN: The Supreme Court has been requested to review the challenge against Trump's global tariffs.
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BREAKING : President Trump is seriously considering joining the war on Iran and launching a strike against its nuclear facilities, as per Axios.
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JUST IN: The US is relocating additional fighter jets to the Middle East and extending the deployment of existing air assets in the region.
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JUST IN: Iran's top army commander urges Israelis to leave Haifa and Tel Aviv promptly, reports Mehr News.
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JUST IN: Israeli intelligence indicates Iran is developing a nuclear bomb trigger - WSJ.
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JUST IN: Fox News reports that the US is considering strikes on Iran, including targeting nuclear sites, as stated by White House officials.
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JUST IN: Trump will make a press statement following the National Security Council meeting.
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JUST IN: President Trump is weighing the option of US strikes on Iran, according to WSJ reports. This is among various possibilities being considered.
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JUST IN: Iran readies missiles and military gear to target US bases if the US enters the conflict - NYT.
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2025/07/13 01:19:35
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