⚾️ Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Run Line in Angels vs. Brewers

📝 Pick Preview:
This is about as big of a mismatch as you'll find on the slate. The Brewers are rolling with the league's best record and have their ace, Freddy Peralta, on the mound. Peralta has been lights out with a 2.69 ERA and is a strikeout machine. On the other side, the Angels are starting rookie Caden Dana, who's been getting rocked to the tune of a 6.32 ERA. The Angels have already been eliminated from the playoffs and have lost four straight, while the Brewers are fighting for a first-round bye. Milwaukee has every motivation and a massive pitching advantage. Don't overthink this one; expect the Brewers to jump on Dana early and cruise to a multi-run victory at home.

💶 Stake 1

🏈 Buffalo Bills -10 in Dolphins @ Bills

📝 Pick preview: Don't overthink this one; laying the points with Buffalo is the sharp play. The Bills have absolutely owned this rivalry, winning 15 of the last 17 matchups under coach Sean McDermott, including nine straight at home. This year, the gap seems wider than ever, with the 2-0 Bills boasting a top-three offense in EPA per play while the 0-2 Dolphins field a defense that ranks dead last by the same metric. The biggest mismatch is in the trenches, where Buffalo's elite defensive line is poised to dominate a Miami offensive line that is in shambles after losing its best player to retirement. Add in the fact that the Dolphins are 0-3 against the spread on Thursday nights under Mike McDaniel, and all signs point to a comfortable double-digit win for the Bills in their home opener.  

💶 Stake 1

Exactly 10 points spread

🏈 OVER 43.5 Total Points in Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots

📝 Pick preview: This matchup has the feel of a classic, gritty AFC slugfest, but the defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than expected. The Steelers' defense has been a major liability, ranking 29th in the league by allowing a hefty 31.5 points per game. They are especially vulnerable against the run, where they've already surrendered four rushing touchdowns in just two contests. Now, that struggling unit will be without two of its most important players, linebacker Alex Highsmith and cornerback Joey Porter Jr., due to injury. This opens the door for a competent Patriots offense, led by rookie Drake Maye, to move the ball and put up points at home. While the Steelers' offense has been inconsistent yardage-wise, they still rank 8th in scoring and will face a Patriots pass defense that sits dead last in the NFL in yards allowed. Expect both teams to find ways to score against these flawed and injured defensive units, pushing the total past this number.  

💶 Stake 1